Trump's endorsement of former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely, combined with Feely's strong fundraising and local name recognition, has driven trader consensus toward an overwhelming lead in the July 21, 2026, Republican primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District. Feely switched into the race at the president's urging and holds a substantial cash advantage over state Rep. Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat to run but trails in resources and faces attacks over past voting record and rhetoric. Other filed candidates, including John Trobough, Matt Gress, and former party chair Gina Swoboda, remain far behind with minimal polling visibility or institutional support. Recent campaign exchanges have highlighted these resource and endorsement gaps without altering the primary positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJay Feely 78%
Joseph Chaplik 9.3%
Jason Duey <1%
Matt Gress <1%
$408,891 Vol.
$408,891 Vol.
Jay Feely
78%
Joseph Chaplik
9%
Jason Duey
1%
Matt Gress
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
John Trobough
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Gina Swoboda
<1%
Mark Brnovich
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Jay Feely 78%
Joseph Chaplik 9.3%
Jason Duey <1%
Matt Gress <1%
$408,891 Vol.
$408,891 Vol.
Jay Feely
78%
Joseph Chaplik
9%
Jason Duey
1%
Matt Gress
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
John Trobough
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Gina Swoboda
<1%
Mark Brnovich
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
<1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump's endorsement of former Arizona Cardinals kicker Jay Feely, combined with Feely's strong fundraising and local name recognition, has driven trader consensus toward an overwhelming lead in the July 21, 2026, Republican primary for Arizona's 1st Congressional District. Feely switched into the race at the president's urging and holds a substantial cash advantage over state Rep. Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat to run but trails in resources and faces attacks over past voting record and rhetoric. Other filed candidates, including John Trobough, Matt Gress, and former party chair Gina Swoboda, remain far behind with minimal polling visibility or institutional support. Recent campaign exchanges have highlighted these resource and endorsement gaps without altering the primary positioning.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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