Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most National Assembly seats in the June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections across seven constituencies—all previously held by DP lawmakers who resigned for mayoral bids, presidential inauguration, or legal invalidations. Recent March polls show DP candidates leading in strongholds like former President Lee Jae-myung's Incheon Gyeyang-gu Eul seat and Jeonbuk Gunsan district, bolstered by incumbency advantages and ruling party momentum. The People Power Party (PPP) trails amid internal chaos, including its nomination committee's en masse resignation on March 31 over candidate disputes, weakening its challenge. While a major DP scandal, candidate gaffes, or PPP unification in swing districts like Gyeonggi Ansan-si Gap could narrow the gap, structural factors and local polling trends sustain DP's commanding position.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourÉlections partielles en Corée du Sud : vainqueur du parti
Élections partielles en Corée du Sud : vainqueur du parti
Parti démocrate de Corée (DP) 96.0%
Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP) 4.1%
Parti de la réforme (RP) 2.5%
Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP) 2.3%

Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP)
4%

Parti démocrate de Corée (DP)
96%

Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP)
2%

Parti progressiste (PP)
2%

Parti de la réforme (RP)
3%
Parti démocrate de Corée (DP) 96.0%
Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP) 4.1%
Parti de la réforme (RP) 2.5%
Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP) 2.3%

Parti du pouvoir du peuple (PPP)
4%

Parti démocrate de Corée (DP)
96%

Parti Reconstruire la Corée (RKP)
2%

Parti progressiste (PP)
2%

Parti de la réforme (RP)
3%
This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Marché ouvert : Feb 12, 2026, 4:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the party that wins the greatest number of National Assembly seats in the parliamentary by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026.
Any seat won in these elections will count, regardless of the party that controlled the relevant seat prior to these elections. Seats uncontested during the June 3 election will not have any impact on the resolution of this market.
If the results of these elections are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified parties in these elections, not any coalition or alliance of which they may be a part.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes across all the relevant parliamentary by-elections. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed full name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Note: this market includes any National Assembly seats contested in by-elections scheduled for June 3, 2026, not just elections which are scheduled as of this market’s creation.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party of Korea (DP) to win the most National Assembly seats in the June 3, 2026, parliamentary by-elections across seven constituencies—all previously held by DP lawmakers who resigned for mayoral bids, presidential inauguration, or legal invalidations. Recent March polls show DP candidates leading in strongholds like former President Lee Jae-myung's Incheon Gyeyang-gu Eul seat and Jeonbuk Gunsan district, bolstered by incumbency advantages and ruling party momentum. The People Power Party (PPP) trails amid internal chaos, including its nomination committee's en masse resignation on March 31 over candidate disputes, weakening its challenge. While a major DP scandal, candidate gaffes, or PPP unification in swing districts like Gyeonggi Ansan-si Gap could narrow the gap, structural factors and local polling trends sustain DP's commanding position.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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