In Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus shows Chris Mora, Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, and John Cowan deadlocked near 41% implied probabilities, driven by Rep. Barry Loudermilk's February retirement opening a safe Republican seat (R+12 PVI) to a crowded eight-candidate field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent forums in Cherokee County (March 20) and Bartow County (March 24) emphasized kitchen-table issues like border security and economy without clear separation, while scant public polling and limited disclosed fundraising—Chris Mora leading early at $3,357 cash-on-hand—preserve tight dynamics. Absent major endorsements or internal polls, the race favors a June 16 runoff; first-quarter FEC reports due soon, Trump backing, or county GOP straw polls could tip momentum ahead of the May 19 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourGA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
John Hobbs 41%
Chris Mora 41%
John Cowan 40%
Lisa Carlquist 40%
John Hobbs
41%
Chris Mora
41%
John Cowan
40%
Lisa Carlquist
40%
Rob Adkerson
30%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
22%
Tricia Pridemore
30%
William Brown
12%
John Hobbs 41%
Chris Mora 41%
John Cowan 40%
Lisa Carlquist 40%
John Hobbs
41%
Chris Mora
41%
John Cowan
40%
Lisa Carlquist
40%
Rob Adkerson
30%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
22%
Tricia Pridemore
30%
William Brown
12%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Georgia's 11th Congressional District Republican primary, trader consensus shows Chris Mora, Lisa Carlquist, John Hobbs, and John Cowan deadlocked near 41% implied probabilities, driven by Rep. Barry Loudermilk's February retirement opening a safe Republican seat (R+12 PVI) to a crowded eight-candidate field with no dominant frontrunner. Recent forums in Cherokee County (March 20) and Bartow County (March 24) emphasized kitchen-table issues like border security and economy without clear separation, while scant public polling and limited disclosed fundraising—Chris Mora leading early at $3,357 cash-on-hand—preserve tight dynamics. Absent major endorsements or internal polls, the race favors a June 16 runoff; first-quarter FEC reports due soon, Trump backing, or county GOP straw polls could tip momentum ahead of the May 19 primary.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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