Tom Sell's dominant 80.2% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican Primary reflects trader consensus on his superior fundraising, with over $450,000 raised compared to rivals, and endorsements from influential Texas GOP figures like Gov. Greg Abbott and Sen. Ted Cruz. Abraham Enriquez trails at 12.9% buoyed by grassroots support and a strong debate performance last week, while Ryan Zink, Matthew Smith, and others linger below 3% amid limited visibility and resources. Recent polling from UH/TSU shows Sell leading 72-14 over Enriquez, solidifying his frontrunner status ahead of early voting; no major shifts expected absent surprises like scandals or late endorsements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourTom Sell 80.3%
Abraham Enriquez 11.7%
Ryan Zink 2.5%
Matthew Smith 2.3%
$52,071 Vol.
$52,071 Vol.
Tom Sell
80%
Abraham Enriquez
12%
Ryan Zink
3%
Matthew Smith
2%
Donald May
1%
James Barbee
1%
Jason Corley
1%
Tom Sell 80.3%
Abraham Enriquez 11.7%
Ryan Zink 2.5%
Matthew Smith 2.3%
$52,071 Vol.
$52,071 Vol.
Tom Sell
80%
Abraham Enriquez
12%
Ryan Zink
3%
Matthew Smith
2%
Donald May
1%
James Barbee
1%
Jason Corley
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Sell's dominant 80.2% implied probability in the TX-19 Republican Primary reflects trader consensus on his superior fundraising, with over $450,000 raised compared to rivals, and endorsements from influential Texas GOP figures like Gov. Greg Abbott and Sen. Ted Cruz. Abraham Enriquez trails at 12.9% buoyed by grassroots support and a strong debate performance last week, while Ryan Zink, Matthew Smith, and others linger below 3% amid limited visibility and resources. Recent polling from UH/TSU shows Sell leading 72-14 over Enriquez, solidifying his frontrunner status ahead of early voting; no major shifts expected absent surprises like scandals or late endorsements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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