Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 31–April 7 tightly clusters around 240–319 tweets (11–12.5% per bin), mirroring XTracker data from late March where daily averages hovered at 20–45 amid inconsistent activity—peaks like 71 posts on March 27 contrasting with under 20 on quieter days such as March 28. This competitive spread stems from Elon's volatile posting tied to viral controversies, Tesla updates, or political firestorms, with recent dips possibly signaling focus on SpaceX launches or xAI developments. Key swing factors include potential Q1 Tesla delivery announcements early April or Easter weekend (April 5) engagement, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom in pricing historical surges against current subdued momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour260-279 13%
240-259 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
$2,126,156 Vol.
$2,126,156 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
12%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 13%
240-259 12%
280-299 12%
300-319 12%
$2,126,156 Vol.
$2,126,156 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
7%
240-259
12%
260-279
13%
280-299
12%
300-319
12%
320-339
11%
340-359
9%
360-379
8%
380-399
5%
400-419
4%
420-439
2%
440-459
2%
460-479
1%
480-499
1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk X post volume for March 31–April 7 tightly clusters around 240–319 tweets (11–12.5% per bin), mirroring XTracker data from late March where daily averages hovered at 20–45 amid inconsistent activity—peaks like 71 posts on March 27 contrasting with under 20 on quieter days such as March 28. This competitive spread stems from Elon's volatile posting tied to viral controversies, Tesla updates, or political firestorms, with recent dips possibly signaling focus on SpaceX launches or xAI developments. Key swing factors include potential Q1 Tesla delivery announcements early April or Easter weekend (April 5) engagement, underscoring prediction markets' wisdom in pricing historical surges against current subdued momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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