Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 220-319 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 (17%) edging 260-279 (16%) amid a razor-thin race reflecting his consistent 35-40 daily posting pace. This mirrors the prior week's 220-239 total and current tracker data showing 34 posts in the first 14% of the period (as of April 1 morning), fueled by steady engagement on viral Tesla FSD 14.3 beta rollout and Starlink airline integrations. Absent major catalysts like product launches or controversies, key swing factors include potential late-week announcements or public spats that could accelerate his characteristically high-volume social media presence, with resolution hinging on official X counts by April 7.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour240-259 17%
260-279 16%
280-299 15%
220-239 14%
$4,141,914 Vol.
$4,141,914 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
14%
240-259
17%
260-279
16%
280-299
15%
300-319
13%
320-339
8%
340-359
4%
360-379
3%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 17%
260-279 16%
280-299 15%
220-239 14%
$4,141,914 Vol.
$4,141,914 Vol.
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
7%
220-239
14%
240-259
17%
260-279
16%
280-299
15%
300-319
13%
320-339
8%
340-359
4%
360-379
3%
380-399
3%
400-419
2%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 220-319 posts for Elon Musk's X activity from March 31 to April 7, with 240-259 (17%) edging 260-279 (16%) amid a razor-thin race reflecting his consistent 35-40 daily posting pace. This mirrors the prior week's 220-239 total and current tracker data showing 34 posts in the first 14% of the period (as of April 1 morning), fueled by steady engagement on viral Tesla FSD 14.3 beta rollout and Starlink airline integrations. Absent major catalysts like product launches or controversies, key swing factors include potential late-week announcements or public spats that could accelerate his characteristically high-volume social media presence, with resolution hinging on official X counts by April 7.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes