Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourElon Musk # tweets 20 mars - 27 mars 2026 ?
Elon Musk # tweets 20 mars - 27 mars 2026 ?
260-279 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$11,067,939 Vol.
$11,067,939 Vol.
<20
Non
20-39
Non
40-59
Non
60-79
Non
80-99
Non
100-119
Non
120-139
Non
140-159
Non
160-179
Non
180-199
Non
200-219
Non
220-239
Non
240-259
Non
260-279
Oui
280-299
Non
300-319
Non
320-339
Non
340-359
Non
360-379
Non
380-399
Non
400-419
Non
420-439
Non
440-459
Non
460-479
Non
480-499
Non
500-519
Non
520-539
Non
540-559
Non
560-579
Non
580+
Non
260-279 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$11,067,939 Vol.
$11,067,939 Vol.
<20
Non
20-39
Non
40-59
Non
60-79
Non
80-99
Non
100-119
Non
120-139
Non
140-159
Non
160-179
Non
180-199
Non
200-219
Non
220-239
Non
240-259
Non
260-279
Oui
280-299
Non
300-319
Non
320-339
Non
340-359
Non
360-379
Non
380-399
Non
400-419
Non
420-439
Non
440-459
Non
460-479
Non
480-499
Non
500-519
Non
520-539
Non
540-559
Non
560-579
Non
580+
Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 17, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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