Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial market after recent polls showed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round scenarios, including a June Ipsos-Ipec survey placing Ciro at 44% to Elmano’s 33%. Traders have priced in Ciro’s strong name recognition as a former state governor and his May decision to focus on the Ceará race rather than a presidential bid, which clarified the field. Elmano’s reelection bid remains competitive in runoff simulations but trails in head-to-head polling. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão register low single digits across surveys, reflecting limited momentum ahead of the October 2026 first round.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCeará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 60%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
Camilo Santana 4.4%
Eduardo Girão 3.3%
$60,908 Vol.
$60,908 Vol.

Ciro Gomes
60%

Elmano de Freitas
29%

Camilo Santana
4%

Eduardo Girão
7%

Capitão Wagner
1%

Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 60%
Elmano de Freitas 29%
Camilo Santana 4.4%
Eduardo Girão 3.3%
$60,908 Vol.
$60,908 Vol.

Ciro Gomes
60%

Elmano de Freitas
29%

Camilo Santana
4%

Eduardo Girão
7%

Capitão Wagner
1%

Roberto Cláudio
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the Ceará gubernatorial market after recent polls showed him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas in first-round scenarios, including a June Ipsos-Ipec survey placing Ciro at 44% to Elmano’s 33%. Traders have priced in Ciro’s strong name recognition as a former state governor and his May decision to focus on the Ceará race rather than a presidential bid, which clarified the field. Elmano’s reelection bid remains competitive in runoff simulations but trails in head-to-head polling. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão register low single digits across surveys, reflecting limited momentum ahead of the October 2026 first round.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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