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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Ceará Governor Election Winner

icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 50%

Elmano de Freitas 28%

Eduardo Girão 11.9%

Roberto Cláudio 11.2%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Ciro Gomes 50%

Elmano de Freitas 28%

Eduardo Girão 11.9%

Roberto Cláudio 11.2%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Ciro Gomes

Ciro Gomes

$3,273 Vol.

50%

icon for Elmano de Freitas

Elmano de Freitas

$545 Vol.

28%

icon for Eduardo Girão

Eduardo Girão

$388 Vol.

12%

icon for Roberto Cláudio

Roberto Cláudio

$388 Vol.

11%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$835 Vol.

12%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$260 Vol.

3%

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Datafolha in late March and early April position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner for Ceará's October 4 gubernatorial election, with leads of 46-55% in first-round and runoff scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), reflecting trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for Gomes amid his strong name recognition as a former governor and presidential candidate. De Freitas trails at 28%, buoyed by federal PT ties but hampered by fragmented opposition including Eduardo Girão (12.8%, Novo), Capitão Wagner (12.7%), and Roberto Cláudio (12%), while ex-governor Camilo Santana lags at 2.8% despite occasional competitive showings. Senator Tasso Jereissati's April 23 endorsement further bolsters Gomes, though a runoff remains likely without a first-round majority.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,689
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls from Paraná Pesquisas, AtlasIntel, and Datafolha in late March and early April position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner for Ceará's October 4 gubernatorial election, with leads of 46-55% in first-round and runoff scenarios against incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT), reflecting trader consensus at 49.5% implied probability for Gomes amid his strong name recognition as a former governor and presidential candidate. De Freitas trails at 28%, buoyed by federal PT ties but hampered by fragmented opposition including Eduardo Girão (12.8%, Novo), Capitão Wagner (12.7%), and Roberto Cláudio (12%), while ex-governor Camilo Santana lags at 2.8% despite occasional competitive showings. Senator Tasso Jereissati's April 23 endorsement further bolsters Gomes, though a runoff remains likely without a first-round majority.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$5,689
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Questions fréquentes

« Ceará Governor Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ciro Gomes » à 50%, suivi de « Elmano de Freitas » à 28%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Ceará Governor Election Winner » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 27, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Ceará Governor Election Winner », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Ceará Governor Election Winner » est « Ciro Gomes » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Elmano de Freitas » à 28%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Ceará Governor Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.