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icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Politique·Élection Principale

Ceará Governor Election Winner

icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Politique·Élection Principale

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Elmano de Freitas 50%

Ciro Gomes 47%

Eduardo Girão <1%

Capitão Wagner <1%

Polymarket

$259,386 Vol.

Elmano de Freitas 50%

Ciro Gomes 47%

Eduardo Girão <1%

Capitão Wagner <1%

Polymarket

$259,386 Vol.

icon for Elmano de Freitas

Elmano de Freitas

$69,326 Vol.

50%

icon for Ciro Gomes

Ciro Gomes

$119,180 Vol.

47%

icon for Eduardo Girão

Eduardo Girão

$18,393 Vol.

<1%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$18,039 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Cláudio

Roberto Cláudio

$18,024 Vol.

<1%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$16,424 Vol.

<1%

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) and challenger Ciro Gomes (PSDB) in a technical tie for Ceará governor, with valid-vote shares near 49% each ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. The narrow gap stems from entrenched regional support, with Elmano drawing strength from the PT base and administrative record while Ciro leverages name recognition and prior governorship appeal across urban and interior areas. Free electoral airtime and recent debates have narrowed earlier leads, and legal disputes over campaign messaging have kept both candidates visible without decisive shifts. Trader pricing aligns with these surveys, underscoring how turnout differences, final-week momentum, or any late endorsements could tip the balance in this closely contested runoff scenario.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$259,386
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent AtlasIntel polling shows incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) and challenger Ciro Gomes (PSDB) in a technical tie for Ceará governor, with valid-vote shares near 49% each ahead of the October 4 first-round vote. The narrow gap stems from entrenched regional support, with Elmano drawing strength from the PT base and administrative record while Ciro leverages name recognition and prior governorship appeal across urban and interior areas. Free electoral airtime and recent debates have narrowed earlier leads, and legal disputes over campaign messaging have kept both candidates visible without decisive shifts. Trader pricing aligns with these surveys, underscoring how turnout differences, final-week momentum, or any late endorsements could tip the balance in this closely contested runoff scenario.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$259,386
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

Tarcísio de Freitas gagnera-t-il l'élection au poste de gouverneur de São Paulo en 2026 ?

99%
Oui
icon for Raquel Lyra va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Pernambouc ?

Raquel Lyra va-t-elle gagner l'élection du gouverneur du Pernambouc ?

56%
Oui
icon for Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

81%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Ceará Governor Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Elmano de Freitas » à 50%, suivi de « Ciro Gomes » à 47%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 50¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Ceará Governor Election Winner » a généré $259.4K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Ceará Governor Election Winner », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Ceará Governor Election Winner » est « Elmano de Freitas » à 50%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 50% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ciro Gomes » à 47%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Ceará Governor Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.