Recent polling trends position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with surveys such as Datafolha and Genial/Quaest showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions. Gomes, a former governor and PSDB pre-candidate, benefits from strong name recognition and voter shifts away from the current PT administration. These results have shaped trader consensus reflected in the market's implied probabilities, while lower shares for figures like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão align with their minimal support in the same surveys. No major campaign events have yet altered this dynamic ahead of the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCeará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 72%
Elmano de Freitas 25%
Camilo Santana 3.9%
Eduardo Girão 1.6%
$56,604 Vol.
$56,604 Vol.

Ciro Gomes
72%

Elmano de Freitas
25%

Camilo Santana
4%

Eduardo Girão
2%

Capitão Wagner
1%

Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Ciro Gomes 72%
Elmano de Freitas 25%
Camilo Santana 3.9%
Eduardo Girão 1.6%
$56,604 Vol.
$56,604 Vol.

Ciro Gomes
72%

Elmano de Freitas
25%

Camilo Santana
4%

Eduardo Girão
2%

Capitão Wagner
1%

Roberto Cláudio
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends position Ciro Gomes as the frontrunner for the October 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with surveys such as Datafolha and Genial/Quaest showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas by double digits in first-round voting intentions. Gomes, a former governor and PSDB pre-candidate, benefits from strong name recognition and voter shifts away from the current PT administration. These results have shaped trader consensus reflected in the market's implied probabilities, while lower shares for figures like Camilo Santana and Eduardo Girão align with their minimal support in the same surveys. No major campaign events have yet altered this dynamic ahead of the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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