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Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?

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Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,234 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$34,234 Vol.

Most of the 62 Texas House Democrats fled the state on Sunday, August 3, 2025, to deny the Texas House the two‐thirds quorum (at least 100 of 150 members) needed to take up legislation, particularly a controversial GOP‑backed congressional redistricting plan aimed at gaining up five additional Republican U.S. House seats. Governor Greg Abbott subsequently threatened to arrest these Democrats unless they return to allow a vote to take place.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of the Texas House Democrats who fled are arrested by any jurisdiction for any charges between August 4, 4:00 PM ET, and August 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,234
Date de fin
Aug 8, 2025
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Most of the 62 Texas House Democrats fled the state on Sunday, August 3, 2025, to deny the Texas House the two‐thirds quorum (at least 100 of 150 members) needed to take up legislation, particularly a controversial GOP‑backed congressional redistricting plan aimed at gaining up five additional Republican U.S. House seats. Governor Greg Abbott subsequently threatened to arrest these Democrats unless they return to allow a vote to take place. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of the Texas House Democrats who fled are arrested by any jurisdiction for any charges between August 4, 4:00 PM ET, and August 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Most of the 62 Texas House Democrats fled the state on Sunday, August 3, 2025, to deny the Texas House the two‐thirds quorum (at least 100 of 150 members) needed to take up legislation, particularly a controversial GOP‑backed congressional redistricting plan aimed at gaining up five additional Republican U.S. House seats. Governor Greg Abbott subsequently threatened to arrest these Democrats unless they return to allow a vote to take place.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of the Texas House Democrats who fled are arrested by any jurisdiction for any charges between August 4, 4:00 PM ET, and August 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring

The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant)
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$34,234
Date de fin
Aug 8, 2025
Marché ouvert
Aug 4, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Most of the 62 Texas House Democrats fled the state on Sunday, August 3, 2025, to deny the Texas House the two‐thirds quorum (at least 100 of 150 members) needed to take up legislation, particularly a controversial GOP‑backed congressional redistricting plan aimed at gaining up five additional Republican U.S. House seats. Governor Greg Abbott subsequently threatened to arrest these Democrats unless they return to allow a vote to take place. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any of the Texas House Democrats who fled are arrested by any jurisdiction for any charges between August 4, 4:00 PM ET, and August 8, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

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Questions fréquentes

« Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 0% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 0¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday? » a généré $34.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Aug 4, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

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La probabilité actuelle pour « Any fleeing Texas House Democrats arrested by Friday? » est de 0% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 0% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

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