Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the CDU at 85.5% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent opinion polls where the AfD leads with 38% support—13 points ahead of the CDU's 25% in the latest INSA survey from March 25. This positioning stems from the AfD's sustained dominance in Sonntagsfragen since late 2025, driven by voter dissatisfaction amid economic pressures and migration debates, while the CDU holds steady as runner-up under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected in January. BSW trails at 5%, with SPD, Greens, FDP, and Die Linke far behind, showing no momentum to challenge. Absent late polling shifts or scandals, CDU's second-place path remains clear in this proportional representation system.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCDU 86%
AfD 9%
BSW 1.9%
FDP <1%
$43,061 Vol.
$43,061 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
CDU
86%
AfD
9%
BSW
2%
FDP
1%
SPD
1%
Les Verts
<1%
La Gauche
<1%
CDU 86%
AfD 9%
BSW 1.9%
FDP <1%
$43,061 Vol.
$43,061 Vol.
6 sept. 2026
CDU
$16,156 Vol.
86%
AfD
$797 Vol.
9%
BSW
$819 Vol.
2%
FDP
$1,689 Vol.
1%
SPD
$22,019 Vol.
1%
Les Verts
$915 Vol.
<1%
La Gauche
$665 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the CDU at 85.5% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent opinion polls where the AfD leads with 38% support—13 points ahead of the CDU's 25% in the latest INSA survey from March 25. This positioning stems from the AfD's sustained dominance in Sonntagsfragen since late 2025, driven by voter dissatisfaction amid economic pressures and migration debates, while the CDU holds steady as runner-up under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected in January. BSW trails at 5%, with SPD, Greens, FDP, and Die Linke far behind, showing no momentum to challenge. Absent late polling shifts or scandals, CDU's second-place path remains clear in this proportional representation system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ET
Volume
$43,061Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the CDU at 85.5% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent opinion polls where the AfD leads with 38% support—13 points ahead of the CDU's 25% in the latest INSA survey from March 25. This positioning stems from the AfD's sustained dominance in Sonntagsfragen since late 2025, driven by voter dissatisfaction amid economic pressures and migration debates, while the CDU holds steady as runner-up under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected in January. BSW trails at 5%, with SPD, Greens, FDP, and Die Linke far behind, showing no momentum to challenge. Absent late polling shifts or scandals, CDU's second-place path remains clear in this proportional representation system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes received (Zweitstimme), with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$43,061Date de fin
6 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 9, 2026, 11:16 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the CDU at 85.5% implied probability for second place in the Sachsen-Anhalt Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting consistent opinion polls where the AfD leads with 38% support—13 points ahead of the CDU's 25% in the latest INSA survey from March 25. This positioning stems from the AfD's sustained dominance in Sonntagsfragen since late 2025, driven by voter dissatisfaction amid economic pressures and migration debates, while the CDU holds steady as runner-up under new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze, elected in January. BSW trails at 5%, with SPD, Greens, FDP, and Die Linke far behind, showing no momentum to challenge. Absent late polling shifts or scandals, CDU's second-place path remains clear in this proportional representation system.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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