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Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

Market icon

Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?

NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$114 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 1.8M

$0 Vol.

47%

↑ 1.7M

$114 Vol.

33%

↑ 1.6M

$0 Vol.

52%

↓ 1.5M

$0 Vol.

54%

↓ 1.4M

$0 Vol.

52%

↓ 1.3M

$0 Vol.

30%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or below the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.The Iranian rial's free-market exchange rate, tracked via Bonbast.com's daily finalized USD/IRR close (currently around 1.55 million rials per dollar), continues depreciating amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, intensified sanctions on Tehran's oil trade, and domestic economic pressures including inflation exceeding 40% and protests. Recent de-escalation signals—such as the US extending its deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and pursuing indirect talks—have slightly stabilized the rate after January's plunge beyond 1.6 million amid initial airstrikes and retaliations. Traders watch upcoming diplomatic developments, potential military escalations, and oil sanction pauses through April 30, which could either accelerate depreciation via further isolation or provide relief if negotiations advance.

The Iranian rial's free-market exchange rate, tracked via Bonbast.com's daily finalized USD/IRR close (currently around 1.55 million rials per dollar), continues depreciating amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, intensified sanctions on Tehran's oil trade, and domestic economic pressures including inflation exceeding 40% and protests. Recent de-escalation signals—such as the US extending its deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and pursuing indirect talks—have slightly stabilized the rate after January's plunge beyond 1.6 million amid initial airstrikes and retaliations. Traders watch upcoming diplomatic developments, potential military escalations, and oil sanction pauses through April 30, which could either accelerate depreciation via further isolation or provide relief if negotiations advance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or above the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast is equal to or below the specified price for any day between market creation and April 30, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR). A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released. Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized. The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.The Iranian rial's free-market exchange rate, tracked via Bonbast.com's daily finalized USD/IRR close (currently around 1.55 million rials per dollar), continues depreciating amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, intensified sanctions on Tehran's oil trade, and domestic economic pressures including inflation exceeding 40% and protests. Recent de-escalation signals—such as the US extending its deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and pursuing indirect talks—have slightly stabilized the rate after January's plunge beyond 1.6 million amid initial airstrikes and retaliations. Traders watch upcoming diplomatic developments, potential military escalations, and oil sanction pauses through April 30, which could either accelerate depreciation via further isolation or provide relief if negotiations advance.

The Iranian rial's free-market exchange rate, tracked via Bonbast.com's daily finalized USD/IRR close (currently around 1.55 million rials per dollar), continues depreciating amid the ongoing US-Iran conflict, intensified sanctions on Tehran's oil trade, and domestic economic pressures including inflation exceeding 40% and protests. Recent de-escalation signals—such as the US extending its deadline for strikes on Iranian energy infrastructure and pursuing indirect talks—have slightly stabilized the rate after January's plunge beyond 1.6 million amid initial airstrikes and retaliations. Traders watch upcoming diplomatic developments, potential military escalations, and oil sanction pauses through April 30, which could either accelerate depreciation via further isolation or provide relief if negotiations advance.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ 1.5M" at 54%, followed by "↑ 1.6M" at 53%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?" is "↓ 1.5M" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 1.6M" at 53%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by April 30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.