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Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?

Market icon

Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?

This market asks whether repayment of federal student loans in the United States of America will resume by May 2, 2022.

If federal student loan repayments resume in the US for all federal student loans at any time between March 22, 2022, and May 2, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market's resolution, "federal student loan repayments resuming" means any one or all of these conditions being issued by the federal government of the United States of America regarding student loans:

1) Loan repayments will be resumed
2) The interest rate will be above 0%
3) Collections on default loans will be resumed

The primary resolution source for this market will be https://studentaid.gov/announcements-events/covid-19/payment-pause-zero-interest, however other official information from the government of the United States of America and credible reporting will be considered.

Volume
$26,709
End Date
May 2, 2022
Market Opened
Mar 21, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market asks whether repayment of federal student loans in the United States of America will resume by May 2, 2022. If federal student loan repayments resume in the US for all federal student loans at any time between March 22, 2022, and May 2, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, "federal student loan repayments resuming" means any one or all of these conditions being issued by the federal government of the United States of America regarding student loans: 1) Loan repayments will be resumed 2) The interest rate will be above 0% 3) Collections on default loans will be resumed The primary resolution source for this market will be https://studentaid.gov/announcements-events/covid-19/payment-pause-zero-interest, however other official information from the government of the United States of America and credible reporting will be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

This market asks whether repayment of federal student loans in the United States of America will resume by May 2, 2022.

If federal student loan repayments resume in the US for all federal student loans at any time between March 22, 2022, and May 2, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market's resolution, "federal student loan repayments resuming" means any one or all of these conditions being issued by the federal government of the United States of America regarding student loans:

1) Loan repayments will be resumed
2) The interest rate will be above 0%
3) Collections on default loans will be resumed

The primary resolution source for this market will be https://studentaid.gov/announcements-events/covid-19/payment-pause-zero-interest, however other official information from the government of the United States of America and credible reporting will be considered.

Volume
$26,709
End Date
May 2, 2022
Market Opened
Mar 21, 2022, 8:00 PM ET
This market asks whether repayment of federal student loans in the United States of America will resume by May 2, 2022. If federal student loan repayments resume in the US for all federal student loans at any time between March 22, 2022, and May 2, 2022, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market's resolution, "federal student loan repayments resuming" means any one or all of these conditions being issued by the federal government of the United States of America regarding student loans: 1) Loan repayments will be resumed 2) The interest rate will be above 0% 3) Collections on default loans will be resumed The primary resolution source for this market will be https://studentaid.gov/announcements-events/covid-19/payment-pause-zero-interest, however other official information from the government of the United States of America and credible reporting will be considered.

Outcome proposed: No

Disputed

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?" has generated $26.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 22, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will US student loan payments resume by May 2, 2022?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.