Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?
$58,698 Vol.
$58,698 Vol.
Aug 23, 2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-President Donald J. Trump participates in the first Republican National Committee (RNC)-sanctioned presidential primary debate, currently scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "participation" will be defined as Trump directly participating in the debate by speaking at least once during the debate, and being acknowledged by the moderator of the debate. If Trump is a remote participant in this debate, this market will still resolve to "Yes".
If this debate is split into multiple debates over multiple days, all days or rounds included in the debate will be considered toward the resolution of this market. If this debate is cancelled, delayed or rescheduled to a start date after September 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-President Donald J. Trump participates in the first Republican National Committee (RNC)-sanctioned presidential primary debate, currently scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "participation" will be defined as Trump directly participating in the debate by speaking at least once during the debate, and being acknowledged by the moderator of the debate. If Trump is a remote participant in this debate, this market will still resolve to "Yes".
If this debate is split into multiple debates over multiple days, all days or rounds included in the debate will be considered toward the resolution of this market. If this debate is cancelled, delayed or rescheduled to a start date after September 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, "participation" will be defined as Trump directly participating in the debate by speaking at least once during the debate, and being acknowledged by the moderator of the debate. If Trump is a remote participant in this debate, this market will still resolve to "Yes".
If this debate is split into multiple debates over multiple days, all days or rounds included in the debate will be considered toward the resolution of this market. If this debate is cancelled, delayed or rescheduled to a start date after September 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Created At: Jun 13, 2023, 2:48 PM ET
Volume
$58,698End Date
Aug 23, 2023Created At
Jun 13, 2023, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?
$58,698 Vol.
$58,698 Vol.
Aug 23, 2023
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-President Donald J. Trump participates in the first Republican National Committee (RNC)-sanctioned presidential primary debate, currently scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "participation" will be defined as Trump directly participating in the debate by speaking at least once during the debate, and being acknowledged by the moderator of the debate. If Trump is a remote participant in this debate, this market will still resolve to "Yes".
If this debate is split into multiple debates over multiple days, all days or rounds included in the debate will be considered toward the resolution of this market. If this debate is cancelled, delayed or rescheduled to a start date after September 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ex-President Donald J. Trump participates in the first Republican National Committee (RNC)-sanctioned presidential primary debate, currently scheduled for August 23, 2023. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, "participation" will be defined as Trump directly participating in the debate by speaking at least once during the debate, and being acknowledged by the moderator of the debate. If Trump is a remote participant in this debate, this market will still resolve to "Yes".
If this debate is split into multiple debates over multiple days, all days or rounds included in the debate will be considered toward the resolution of this market. If this debate is cancelled, delayed or rescheduled to a start date after September 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
For the purposes of this market, "participation" will be defined as Trump directly participating in the debate by speaking at least once during the debate, and being acknowledged by the moderator of the debate. If Trump is a remote participant in this debate, this market will still resolve to "Yes".
If this debate is split into multiple debates over multiple days, all days or rounds included in the debate will be considered toward the resolution of this market. If this debate is cancelled, delayed or rescheduled to a start date after September 30, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the debate, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$58,698End Date
Aug 23, 2023Created At
Jun 13, 2023, 2:48 PM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions
"Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?" has generated $58.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 13, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current probability for "Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.
The resolution rules for "Will Trump attend the first RNC debate?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.




Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions