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Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification?

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Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification?

If any one of the listed teams below does NOT qualify from the Group Stage, this market will resolve to "Yes": Brazil, France, England, Argentina, Netherlands, Spain, Germany, Portugal, Belgium. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, all listed teams must qualify from the Group Stage in order to resolve this market to "No". If a single one of the listed teams does not qualify from the Group Stage, this market will resolve to "Yes". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it will be impossible for one of the listed teams to qualify from the Group Stage, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". Likewise, if it can at any point be definitively determined that all of the listed teams qualify from the Group Stage, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the second round has not begun by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/qatar2022/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If any one of the listed teams below does NOT qualify from the Group Stage, this market will resolve to "Yes": Brazil, France, England, Argentina, Netherlands, Spain, Germany, Portugal, Belgium. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note, all listed teams must qualify from the Group Stage in order to resolve this market to "No". If a single one of the listed teams does not qualify from the Group Stage, this market will resolve to "Yes". If at any point it can be definitively determined that it will be impossible for one of the listed teams to qualify from the Group Stage, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes". Likewise, if it can at any point be definitively determined that all of the listed teams qualify from the Group Stage, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the second round has not begun by December 31, 2022, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (e.g. https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup/qatar2022/scores-fixtures), including official footage from the World Cup, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification?" has generated $10.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 22, 2022. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.