Note on Middle East Markets: The promise of prediction markets is to harness the wisdom of the crowd to create accurate, unbiased forecasts for the most important events to society. That ability is particularly invaluable in gut-wrenching times like today. After discussing with those directly affected by the attacks, who had dozens of questions, we realized that prediction markets could give them the answers they needed in ways TV news and Twitter could not.

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Middle East

$44,223 Bet

Expires Dec 31, 2023

Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?

Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023?

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. officially states that Iran was directly involved, beyond just funding organizations and proxies, in the recent attack on Israel on or before December 31, 2023, 11:59 PM ET. The statement must be made by a U.S. government official and should be verifiable through reliable sources, such as verified news outlets or official U.S. government statements. If no such statement is made by the stated date, the market will resolve to "No". If a statement is made before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.

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