Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?
$52,454 Vol.
Rules
Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between July 2, and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000).
If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by September 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between July 2, and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000).
If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by September 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
Created At: Jul 2, 2025, 6:50 PM UTC
Volume
$52,454End Date
Aug 31, 2025Created At
Jul 2, 2025, 6:50 PM UTCResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$52,454 Vol.
Will Suez Canal traffic recover to pre-Houthi levels before September?
About
Prior to the disruptions caused by the Houthi attacks in late 2023, the Suez Canal experienced an average daily transit of approximately 72 vessels.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between July 2, and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000).
If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by September 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 7 Day moving average of the Suez Canal reaches or exceeds 70 vessels on any listed date between July 2, and August 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the International Monetary Fund's PortWatch platform, specifically the data listed for the “7 Day moving average” for Suez Canal: Daily Transit Calls (see: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/eventc1000000).
If relevant IMFportwatch data becomes permanently unavailable, another credible source will be used. If data for the listed data range has not been published by September 15, 12:00 PM ET (noon), and the conditions for a “Yes” resolution have not been met, this market will resolve to “No”.
Volume
$52,454End Date
Aug 31, 2025Created At
Jul 2, 2025, 6:50 PM UTCResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
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