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Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023?

Market icon

Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$11,435 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$11,435 Vol.

This is a market on whether the price of crude oil will be at $120.00 or higher at any point between October 11 and December 29, 2023 ET (inclusive). If the value of a barrel of oil reaches $120.00 or greater by market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/cl%3Anmx/historical. The resolution will be based on the values listed in the column labelled “High”.
Volume
$11,435
End Date
Dec 29, 2023
Created At
Oct 19, 2023, 5:41 PM ET
This is a market on whether the price of crude oil will be at $120.00 or higher at any point between October 11 and December 29, 2023 ET (inclusive). If the value of a barrel of oil reaches $120.00 or greater by market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/cl%3Anmx/historical. The resolution will be based on the values listed in the column labelled “High”.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This is a market on whether the price of crude oil will be at $120.00 or higher at any point between October 11 and December 29, 2023 ET (inclusive). If the value of a barrel of oil reaches $120.00 or greater by market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/cl%3Anmx/historical. The resolution will be based on the values listed in the column labelled “High”.
Volume
$11,435
End Date
Dec 29, 2023
Created At
Oct 19, 2023, 5:41 PM ET
This is a market on whether the price of crude oil will be at $120.00 or higher at any point between October 11 and December 29, 2023 ET (inclusive). If the value of a barrel of oil reaches $120.00 or greater by market close on the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be NASDAQ's reporting on the values offered by the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), found at https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/commodities/cl%3Anmx/historical. The resolution will be based on the values listed in the column labelled “High”.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023?" has generated $11.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 19, 2023. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.