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Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?

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Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?

0% chance
Polymarket

$500 Vol.

0% chance
Polymarket

$500 Vol.

The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$500
End Date
Mar 5, 2024
Market Opened
Feb 1, 2024, 3:17 PM ET
The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$500
End Date
Mar 5, 2024
Market Opened
Feb 1, 2024, 3:17 PM ET
The CA House Primary is scheduled for March 5, 2024, in which the two highest-placing candidates advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Courtney Najera fails to move onto the CA-30 general election from the primary. If she advances to the CA-30 general election from the primary, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from California, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Feb 1, 2024. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Courtney Najera lose CA-30 primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.