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Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March?

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Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March?

This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the Eurostat (HICP), from March 2021 to March 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union annual inflation in March 2022 is 7.8 percent or more and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-euro-indicators. The next release of HICP inflation rate with full data for March 2022 is scheduled for April 21, 2022. Note, that this market is about the inflation for all European Union Member States, not only the Euro zone (states using €). The Inflation dashboard for the Euro zone can be viewed here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/macroeconomic_and_sectoral/hicp/html/index.en.html

This is a market on a year-to-year inflation, as measured by the Eurostat (HICP), from March 2021 to March 2022. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the European Union annual inflation in March 2022 is 7.8 percent or more and "No" otherwise. The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-euro-indicators. The next release of HICP inflation rate with full data for March 2022 is scheduled for April 21, 2022. Note, that this market is about the inflation for all European Union Member States, not only the Euro zone (states using €). The Inflation dashboard for the Euro zone can be viewed here: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/macroeconomic_and_sectoral/hicp/html/index.en.html

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 7, 2022. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will annual inflation in the European Union be 7.8% or more in March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.