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Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon?

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Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$23,416 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$23,416 Vol.

On the morning July 19, 2024, the FAA grounded all flights from Delta, United, and American Airlines due to a communication issue (see https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/business/delta-american-airlines-flights-outage-intl-hnk/index.html):

This market will resolve to "Yes" if American Airlines is ungrounded and resumes flight operations within the continental United States by 12:00 PM ET on July 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution will be based on official statements from the FAA or American Airlines, or a consensus of credible reporting indicating that American Airlines has been permitted to operate takeoffs for commercial passenger flights within the continental US.
Volume
$23,416
End Date
Jul 19, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 19, 2024, 4:24 AM ET
On the morning July 19, 2024, the FAA grounded all flights from Delta, United, and American Airlines due to a communication issue (see https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/business/delta-american-airlines-flights-outage-intl-hnk/index.html): This market will resolve to "Yes" if American Airlines is ungrounded and resumes flight operations within the continental United States by 12:00 PM ET on July 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on official statements from the FAA or American Airlines, or a consensus of credible reporting indicating that American Airlines has been permitted to operate takeoffs for commercial passenger flights within the continental US.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

On the morning July 19, 2024, the FAA grounded all flights from Delta, United, and American Airlines due to a communication issue (see https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/business/delta-american-airlines-flights-outage-intl-hnk/index.html):

This market will resolve to "Yes" if American Airlines is ungrounded and resumes flight operations within the continental United States by 12:00 PM ET on July 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution will be based on official statements from the FAA or American Airlines, or a consensus of credible reporting indicating that American Airlines has been permitted to operate takeoffs for commercial passenger flights within the continental US.
Volume
$23,416
End Date
Jul 19, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 19, 2024, 4:24 AM ET
On the morning July 19, 2024, the FAA grounded all flights from Delta, United, and American Airlines due to a communication issue (see https://www.cnn.com/2024/07/19/business/delta-american-airlines-flights-outage-intl-hnk/index.html): This market will resolve to "Yes" if American Airlines is ungrounded and resumes flight operations within the continental United States by 12:00 PM ET on July 19, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution will be based on official statements from the FAA or American Airlines, or a consensus of credible reporting indicating that American Airlines has been permitted to operate takeoffs for commercial passenger flights within the continental US.

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon?" has generated $23.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 19, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will American Airlines be ungrounded by Noon?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.