Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Name: Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Start: 2025-08-05T17:33:33.863763Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Kevin Warsh 44%

Rick Rieder 34.8%

Christopher Waller 11.7%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$243,520,557 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh
$8,867,310 Vol.
44%

Rick Rieder
$7,300,777 Vol.
35%

Christopher Waller
$6,428,398 Vol.
12%

Kevin Hassett
$13,854,230 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$8,138,424 Vol.
3%

Judy Shelton
$7,768,567 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$5,974,363 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,775,836 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,338,966 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,580,697 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$10,806,510 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,344,933 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,172,307 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,855,080 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,014,403 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,300,975 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,206,940 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,334,202 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,583,070 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,121,655 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,686,331 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,889,860 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,835,459 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,415,628 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,920,631 Vol.
<1%

Rules

This market will resolve according to the next individual Donald Trump, as President of the United States, formally nominates to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

Acting or interim appointments will not count unless the individual is formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Volume

$243,520,557

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh 44%

Rick Rieder 34.8%

Christopher Waller 11.7%

Kevin Hassett 6%

$243,520,557 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026

Kevin Warsh

$8,867,310 Vol.

44%

Rick Rieder

$7,300,777 Vol.

35%

Christopher Waller

$6,428,398 Vol.

12%

Kevin Hassett

$13,854,230 Vol.

Scott Bessent

$8,138,424 Vol.

Judy Shelton

$7,768,567 Vol.

Michelle Bowman

$5,974,363 Vol.

Stephen Miran

$5,775,836 Vol.

<1%

No one nominated before 2027

$5,338,966 Vol.

<1%

David Malpass

$4,580,697 Vol.

<1%

Jerome Powell

$10,806,510 Vol.

<1%

Bill Pulte

$23,344,933 Vol.

<1%

Howard Lutnick

$2,172,307 Vol.

<1%

Arthur Laffer

$20,855,080 Vol.

<1%

Larry Kudlow

$10,014,403 Vol.

<1%

Ron Paul

$12,300,975 Vol.

<1%

James Bullard

$2,206,940 Vol.

<1%

Marc Sumerlin

$3,334,202 Vol.

<1%

David Zervos

$3,583,070 Vol.

<1%

Lorie K. Logan

$2,121,655 Vol.

<1%

Philip Jefferson

$9,686,331 Vol.

<1%

Janet Yellen

$20,889,860 Vol.

<1%

Larry Lindsey

$5,835,459 Vol.

<1%

Barron Trump

$19,415,628 Vol.

<1%

Donald Trump

$22,920,631 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$243,520,557

End Date

Dec 31, 2026

Created At

Aug 5, 2025, 1:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Donald Trump not announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before February 2026?

57%

Will 57 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?

30%

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by June 30, 2026?

99%

Beware of external links.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh
$8,867,310 Vol.
44%

Rick Rieder
$7,300,777 Vol.
35%

Christopher Waller
$6,428,398 Vol.
12%

Kevin Hassett
$13,854,230 Vol.
6%

Scott Bessent
$8,138,424 Vol.
3%

Judy Shelton
$7,768,567 Vol.
1%

Michelle Bowman
$5,974,363 Vol.
1%

Stephen Miran
$5,775,836 Vol.
<1%

No one nominated before 2027
$5,338,966 Vol.
<1%

David Malpass
$4,580,697 Vol.
<1%

Jerome Powell
$10,806,510 Vol.
<1%

Bill Pulte
$23,344,933 Vol.
<1%

Howard Lutnick
$2,172,307 Vol.
<1%

Arthur Laffer
$20,855,080 Vol.
<1%

Larry Kudlow
$10,014,403 Vol.
<1%

Ron Paul
$12,300,975 Vol.
<1%

James Bullard
$2,206,940 Vol.
<1%

Marc Sumerlin
$3,334,202 Vol.
<1%

David Zervos
$3,583,070 Vol.
<1%

Lorie K. Logan
$2,121,655 Vol.
<1%

Philip Jefferson
$9,686,331 Vol.
<1%

Janet Yellen
$20,889,860 Vol.
<1%

Larry Lindsey
$5,835,459 Vol.
<1%

Barron Trump
$19,415,628 Vol.
<1%

Donald Trump
$22,920,631 Vol.
<1%

Market Context