Petr Yan holds a commanding 86.5% implied probability as Merab Dvalishvili's next opponent, driven by both fighters' recent confirmations of a trilogy bout targeting summer 2026, potentially at International Fight Week or UFC 331 in August. Their bantamweight rivalry stands at 1-1 after Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win and Yan's dominant UFC 323 rematch victory in December 2025 that claimed the title, with Dvalishvili stating on The Ariel Helwani Show he's waiting exclusively for this rubber match. Yan echoed a promised immediate rematch regardless of other results. Challenges could arise from injury setbacks, weigh-in issues, or UFC pivoting to contenders like Umar Nurmagomedov amid title picture shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPetr Yan 91%
Song Yadong 21.4%
Umar Nurmagomedov 16.4%
Payton Talbott 4.2%
Petr Yan
86%
Song Yadong
21%
Umar Nurmagomedov
16%
Payton Talbott
4%
Ricky Simón
2%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Rob Font
2%
Deiveson Figueiredo
16%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
6%
Sean O'Malley
12%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Petr Yan 91%
Song Yadong 21.4%
Umar Nurmagomedov 16.4%
Payton Talbott 4.2%
Petr Yan
86%
Song Yadong
21%
Umar Nurmagomedov
16%
Payton Talbott
4%
Ricky Simón
2%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Rob Font
2%
Deiveson Figueiredo
16%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
6%
Sean O'Malley
12%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Petr Yan holds a commanding 86.5% implied probability as Merab Dvalishvili's next opponent, driven by both fighters' recent confirmations of a trilogy bout targeting summer 2026, potentially at International Fight Week or UFC 331 in August. Their bantamweight rivalry stands at 1-1 after Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win and Yan's dominant UFC 323 rematch victory in December 2025 that claimed the title, with Dvalishvili stating on The Ariel Helwani Show he's waiting exclusively for this rubber match. Yan echoed a promised immediate rematch regardless of other results. Challenges could arise from injury setbacks, weigh-in issues, or UFC pivoting to contenders like Umar Nurmagomedov amid title picture shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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