UFC bantamweight contender Merab Dvalishvili's trader consensus heavily favors a trilogy bout with former and reigning champion Petr Yan at 88.5% implied probability, driven by mutual confirmations in late March 2026 that the matchup is locked in for mid-summer, likely International Fight Week in July or August. Their 1-1 head-to-head record—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win and Yan's title-reclaiming stoppage at UFC 323 in December 2025—fuels the rivalry, overriding calls from contenders like Umar Nurmagomedov or Sean O'Malley. Yan's recent training footage and Dvalishvili's insistence on waiting post-RAF wrestling appearance solidify sentiment. Challenges could arise from injuries at weigh-ins, Yan's title obligations shifting to an eliminator, or UFC pivoting amid contender wins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedPetr Yan 89%
Umar Nurmagomedov 22.4%
Song Yadong 5.1%
Alexander Volkanovski 3.4%
$11,193 Vol.
$11,193 Vol.
Petr Yan
89%
Umar Nurmagomedov
22%
Song Yadong
5%
Alexander Volkanovski
3%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Rob Font
2%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Sean O'Malley
23%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Petr Yan 89%
Umar Nurmagomedov 22.4%
Song Yadong 5.1%
Alexander Volkanovski 3.4%
$11,193 Vol.
$11,193 Vol.
Petr Yan
89%
Umar Nurmagomedov
22%
Song Yadong
5%
Alexander Volkanovski
3%
Alexandre Pantoja
2%
Rob Font
2%
Payton Talbott
1%
Ricky Simón
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
Sean O'Malley
23%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...UFC bantamweight contender Merab Dvalishvili's trader consensus heavily favors a trilogy bout with former and reigning champion Petr Yan at 88.5% implied probability, driven by mutual confirmations in late March 2026 that the matchup is locked in for mid-summer, likely International Fight Week in July or August. Their 1-1 head-to-head record—Dvalishvili's 2023 decision win and Yan's title-reclaiming stoppage at UFC 323 in December 2025—fuels the rivalry, overriding calls from contenders like Umar Nurmagomedov or Sean O'Malley. Yan's recent training footage and Dvalishvili's insistence on waiting post-RAF wrestling appearance solidify sentiment. Challenges could arise from injuries at weigh-ins, Yan's title obligations shifting to an eliminator, or UFC pivoting amid contender wins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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