Skip to main content
Market icon

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Market icon

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$64,887 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$64,887 Vol.

Polymarket

Yair Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

48%

Charles Oliveira

$35 Vol.

48%

Max Holloway

$0 Vol.

48%

Cory Sandhagen

$0 Vol.

47%

Belal Muhammad

$250 Vol.

47%

Dricus Du Plessis

$0 Vol.

47%

Sergei Pavlovich

$29 Vol.

47%

Aljamain Sterling

$52 Vol.

45%

Nassourdine Imavov

$0 Vol.

45%

Alexander Volkov

$252 Vol.

43%

Merab Dvalishvili

$929 Vol.

50%

Kamaru Usman

$6,299 Vol.

31%

Arman Tsarukyan

$2,137 Vol.

17%

Magomed Ankalaev

$824 Vol.

22%

Umar Nurmagomedov

$805 Vol.

16%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$0 Vol.

11%

Sean O'Malley

$1,356 Vol.

20%

Diego Lopes

$4,886 Vol.

7%

Paddy Pimblett

$0 Vol.

6%

Manel Kape

$0 Vol.

15%

Deiveson Figueiredo

$0 Vol.

3%

Jack Della Maddalena

$0 Vol.

2%

Leon Edwards

$39,934 Vol.

18%

Alexandre Pantoja

$640 Vol.

41%

Ian Machado Garry

$203 Vol.

47%

Sean Strickland

$1,321 Vol.

38%

Jiří Procházka

$3,461 Vol.

35%

Ciryl Gane

$1,472 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Ulberg claimed the vacant light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout over Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11, highlighting the division's volatility after Alex Pereira vacated to pursue heavyweight opportunities against Ciryl Gane. Earlier in 2026, Charles Oliveira dethroned Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 326 in March for featherweight gold, while Justin Gaethje secured interim lightweight honors in January versus Paddy Pimblett. Bantamweight sees Petr Yan defending against contenders like Merab Dvalishvili amid ongoing rivalry, and middleweight champion Khamzat Chimaev faces Sean Strickland soon. Rising undefeated talents such as Umar Nurmagomedov in bantamweight add upset potential through the year's remaining title bouts and contender wins.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,887
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Ulberg claimed the vacant light heavyweight title with a first-round knockout over Jiří Procházka at UFC 327 on April 11, highlighting the division's volatility after Alex Pereira vacated to pursue heavyweight opportunities against Ciryl Gane. Earlier in 2026, Charles Oliveira dethroned Alexander Volkanovski at UFC 326 in March for featherweight gold, while Justin Gaethje secured interim lightweight honors in January versus Paddy Pimblett. Bantamweight sees Petr Yan defending against contenders like Merab Dvalishvili amid ongoing rivalry, and middleweight champion Khamzat Chimaev faces Sean Strickland soon. Rising undefeated talents such as Umar Nurmagomedov in bantamweight add upset potential through the year's remaining title bouts and contender wins.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$64,887
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Dec 29, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 28 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 50%, followed by "Yair Rodriguez" at 48%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" has generated $64.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?," browse the 28 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" is "Merab Dvalishvili" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Yair Rodriguez" at 48%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.