Name: Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?
Start: 2023-05-23T21:14:22.494Z
End: 2023-05-28T00:00:00Z

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This is a market group over who will be the CEO of Waystar Royco at the end of Succession's 4th season.


This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kendall Roy is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".

Kendall Roy

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Wambsgans is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".

Tom Wambsgans

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Roman Roy is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".

Roman Roy

This market will resolve to "Yes" if either Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".

Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shiv Roy is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".

Shiv Roy

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Greg Hirsch is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".

Greg Hirsch

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lukas Matsson is selected to be the next CEO of Waystar Royco by the end of Succession's 4th season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the sake of this market's resolution, if this character is selected to become a co-CEO this market will resolve to "Yes".

The primary resolution source for this market will be the show itself, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

If the CEO of Waystar Royco is ambiguous or unknown at the end of Succession's 4th season, this market will resolve "No".

Lukas Matsson

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?

On July 9, X CEO Linda Yaccarino announced she was stepping down. 

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Linda Yaccarino as CEO of X Corp. by December 31, 2025.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of X.

Interim CEOs will not qualify. 

The resolution source will be public statements from X Corp.

Will no CEO be announced in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Apple.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Tim Cook as CEO of Apple Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Apple Inc.

Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Elon Musk as CEO of Tesla by December 31, 2025. 

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Tesla.

The resolution source will be public statements from Tesla.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Brian Armstrong is no longer serving as CEO of Coinbase for any length of time from the date of this market's inception, December 29, 2024 through December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Brian Armstrong's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Coinbase and/or Brian Armstrong, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the next permanent successor to Calvin McDonald as CEO of Lululemon Inc. by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

An announcement of a successor will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether the announced replacement actually becomes the next CEO of Lululemon.

Interim CEOs will not qualify.

If no permanent successor to Calvin McDonald as CEO of Lululemon Inc. is announced by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source will be public statements from Lululemon Inc.

Will Jane Nielsen be the next CEO of Lululemon?

This market will resolve according to the bracket containing the number of the contestant who is announced as the winner of Beast Games.

The winner is defined as the contestant who is announced as the winner. If multiple players are announced as the winner, this market will resolve according to the contestant who wins the most prize money in the final episode. If multiple players tie for most prize money this money will resolve according to the winning contestant whose listed number is highest. 

If no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. 

The primary resolution source will be the final episode of the Beast Games, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will a contestant numbered 151 - 175 win Beast Games: Season 2?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if David Baszucki ceases to be CEO of Roblox for any length of time between August 14, and December 31, 2025 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of David Baszucki's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Roblox and/or David Baszucki, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


David Baszucki out as Roblox CEO in 2025?

This market will resolve according to the name of the person announced as the next creative director of Versace.

The listed person must be officially announced by Versace or Prada Group as the new Creative Director or an equivalent title such as Chief Creative Officer, Artistic Director of Versace, etc.

If no new creative director is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Any announcement of a decision before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Versace or Prada group, or a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Pieter Mulier be named the next creative director of Versace?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tim Cook ceases to be CEO of Apple for any length of time between November 20, 2025, and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Tim Cook's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Apple and/or Tim Cook, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?

This market will resolve according to the first individual that ceases to occupy their listed office.

An announcement of a resignation/removal, or a scheduled departure from office due to the outcome of an election will not alone qualify.

Only permanent removal from office will qualify for resolution. Temporary removals, such as impeachment suspensions (e.g., Yoon Suk Yeol's recent impeachment), temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment, or any similar provisional transfers of power, will not count.

Additionally, if an individual continues in a caretaker or interim role (e.g., Gabriel Attal remaining as caretaker Prime Minister of France), they will not be considered to have ceased occupying the office for the purposes of this market.

If this criteria has not been met for any of the listed individuals by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. No additional individuals will be added to this market after its creation.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Conrad Kramer ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Conrad’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Conrad indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Julie Masino ceases to be CEO of Cracker Barrel for any length of time between August 24 and December 31, 2025 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Julie Masino's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Cracker Barrel and/or Julie Masino, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.


Julie Masino out as Cracker Barrel CEO in 2025? 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Keir Starmer ceases to be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom for any period of time between November 5, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Keir Starmer's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be the government of the UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Starmer out by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve according to the first entity that acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. 

Transactions that involve only Warner Bros. Discovery's linear television networks, news channels, or other non-studio, non-streaming assets, without also transferring control of its studios and streaming businesses, will not qualify.

Announcements of non-finalized arrangements — including, the currently announced Netflix agreement to acquire Warner Bros. Discovery’s studios and streaming businesses — will not qualify.

If no entity acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None by June 30 2027". 

Resolution will be based on by a consensus of reporting.

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ari Weinstein ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with OpenAI, for any length of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, suspension, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with OpenAI.

An official announcement of Ari’s departure from OpenAI (e.g., a statement from OpenAI or Ari indicating he will no longer be engaged with OpenAI) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, Paramount (directly or through a subsidiary) acquires control of Warner Bros. Discovery's studios and streaming businesses by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Resolution will be based on official company communications and regulatory filings from Paramount and Warner Bros. Discovery (or any successor entities), supplemented as needed by a consensus of reporting from major reputable news outlets.

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed person is no longer host of their respective show for any length of time between September 18, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of this person's resignation or removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or removal goes into effect.

If the owning network or its parent company announces the show that the listed person hosts is cancelled within timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "Yes".

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed person or the owning network of the show that they host, however, a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.

Jimmy Fallon cancelled by December 31?

This market will resolve according to the name of the next NFL head coach fired during the 2025-2026 NFL season. 

If no NFL head coach is fired by February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Raheem Morris be the next NFL Head Coach fired?

"Stranger Things: Season 5" is scheduled to air in three parts, on November 26, 2025, December 25, 2025, and the finale on December 31, 2025.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the specified character dies during "Stranger Things: Season 5". Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying death must show the specified character dead on screen, or otherwise that character’s death must clearly be stated to have occurred, even if offscreen (e.g., characters confirm their death in conversation, the funeral of a character occurs, etc.). 

If a death is reversed through a revival, resurrection, or reanimation that occurs after the character has died, that death will still qualify. Deaths occurring in any timeline or dimension depicted in "Stranger Things: Season 5" will count toward resolution.

Flashback scenes showing a character alive before their death, as well as dream sequences, hallucinations, or visions of dead characters, will not affect resolution. Characters who were already confirmed dead before "Stranger Things: Season 5" begins will not count toward this market’s resolution.

If a character’s fate is deliberately left ambiguous, it will not qualify toward the resolution of this market. Only deaths confirmed by the end of "Stranger Things: Season 5" will qualify.

Only events depicted in official "Stranger Things: Season 5" episodes will count toward resolution. Post-credits scenes count if they are part of the official episode, but supplementary materials such as podcasts, comics, or other media do not count unless they are explicitly referenced within the show itself. The market will resolve after the final episode of "Stranger Things: Season 5" is released.

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Shaun Maguire ceases any employment or formal contractual involvement with Sequoia Capital for any length of time between July 7, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This includes any termination, or withdrawal of his contractual or partnership obligations with Sequoia Capital.

An official announcement of Shaun Maguire’s departure from Sequoia Capital (e.g., a statement from Sequoia or Maguire indicating he will no longer be engaged with Sequoia) will qualify, regardless of when the announced departure takes effect.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Shaun Maguire out at Sequoia in 2025?

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2025, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

Kendall Roy
$31,791 Vol.
No

Roman Roy
$4,845 Vol.
No

Shiv Roy
$3,067 Vol.
No

Greg Hirsch
$16,226 Vol.
No

Lukas Matsson
$6,606 Vol.
No

Tom Wambsgans
$19,905 Vol.
Yes

Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy
$1,937 Vol.
No

Market Context

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

Rules

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

Market Context

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

About

Related

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

Kendall Roy$31,791 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Roman Roy$4,845 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Shiv Roy$3,067 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Greg Hirsch$16,226 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Lukas Matsson$6,606 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Tom Wambsgans$19,905 Vol.Yescircle check

Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy$1,937 Vol.Nocircle xmark

Market Context

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

Rules

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

Market Context

Who will be CEO at the end of Succession's S4 Finale?

About

Related

Kendall Roy
$31,791 Vol.
No

Roman Roy
$4,845 Vol.
No

Shiv Roy
$3,067 Vol.
No

Greg Hirsch
$16,226 Vol.
No

Lukas Matsson
$6,606 Vol.
No

Tom Wambsgans
$19,905 Vol.
Yes

Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy
$1,937 Vol.
No