This is a market on the likelihood of confirmation for various nominees picked by Trump.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pam Bondi is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Bondi's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Pam Bondi

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Collins is confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Collins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Doug Collins

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth is confirmed as Secretary of Defense by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Hegseth’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Pete Hegseth

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elise Stefanik is confirmed as United Nations ambassador by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Stefanik's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Elise Stefanik

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sean Duffy is confirmed as Secretary of Transportation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Duffy's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Sean Duffy

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel is confirmed as Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Patel's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Kash Patel

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Chris Wright is confirmed as Secretary of Energy by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Wright's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Chris Wright

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Doug Burgum is confirmed as Secretary of Interior by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Burgum's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Doug Burgum

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Brooke Rollins is confirmed as Agriculture Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Rollins's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Brooke Rollins

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kristi Noem is confirmed as Secretary of Homeland Security by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Noem’s nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Kristi Noem

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lee Zeldin is confirmed as Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Zeldin's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Lee Zeldin

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. is confirmed as Secretary of Health and Human Services by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If RFK's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

RFK Jr.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mike Huckabee is confirmed as the U.S. ambassador to Israel by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Huckabee's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Mike Huckabee

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Russell Vought is confirmed as director of the Office of Management and Budget by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Vought's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Russell Vought

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe is confirmed as director of the CIA by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Ratcliffe's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

John Ratcliffe

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marco Rubio is confirmed as Secretary of State by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Rubio's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Marco Rubio

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Matt Gaetz is confirmed as Attorney General by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Gaetz's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Matt Gaetz 

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tulsi Gabbard is confirmed as Director of National Intelligence by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Gabbard's nomination is formally withdrawn or if the Senate rejects his nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must to confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Tulsi Gabbard

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Bessent is confirmed as Treasury Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Bessent's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Scott Bessent

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Scott Turner is confirmed as Secretary of Housing and Urban Development by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Turner's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Scott Turner

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mehmet Oz is confirmed as Administrator of Medicare and Medicaid by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Oz's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects their nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Mehmet Oz

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lori Chavez-DeRemer is confirmed as Labor Secretary by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Chavez-DeRemer's nomination is formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects her nomination this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market is information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/NominationsRejectedorWithdrawn.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Which Trump picks will be confirmed?

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