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Politics·Powell

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

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Politics·Powell

What will Powell say during April Press Conference?

$113,445 Vol.

Apr 29, 2026
Polymarket

$113,445 Vol.

Polymarket

Inflation 40+ times

$20,786 Vol.

71%

Inflation 50+ times

$4,633 Vol.

58%

Inflation 60+ times

$7,741 Vol.

26%

Successor

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57%

War

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55%

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47%

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74%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$5,553 Vol.

75%

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Simulation

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Tariff inflation

$699 Vol.

57%

Goods inflation

$2,863 Vol.

65%

Shut down / Shutdown

$12,414 Vol.

31%

Good Afternoon

$19,931 Vol.

97%

Crypto / Bitcoin

$11,393 Vol.

8%

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.The Federal Reserve's April 28-29 FOMC meeting and Chair Jerome Powell's subsequent press conference on April 29 loom as traders assess potential signals on monetary policy amid elevated inflation risks. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by energy price spikes tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, prompting hawkish revisions in rate cut expectations. The March FOMC held the federal funds target range at 3.5%-3.75%, with the dot plot projecting just one 25 basis-point cut in 2026 amid solid job gains and unemployment near 4.3%. Powell is likely to stress data dependence, inflation persistence, and labor market resilience, with key pre-meeting releases including April retail sales and industrial production influencing trader positioning on forward guidance phrasing.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$113,445
End Date
Apr 29, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.The Federal Reserve's April 28-29 FOMC meeting and Chair Jerome Powell's subsequent press conference on April 29 loom as traders assess potential signals on monetary policy amid elevated inflation risks. March CPI surged to 3.3% year-over-year—up sharply from February's 2.4%—driven by energy price spikes tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions, prompting hawkish revisions in rate cut expectations. The March FOMC held the federal funds target range at 3.5%-3.75%, with the dot plot projecting just one 25 basis-point cut in 2026 amid solid job gains and unemployment near 4.3%. Powell is likely to stress data dependence, inflation persistence, and labor market resilience, with key pre-meeting releases including April retail sales and industrial production influencing trader positioning on forward guidance phrasing.

Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Volume
$113,445
End Date
Apr 29, 2026
Market Opened
Apr 3, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on April 29, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If no such statement happens by April 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Powell say during April Press Conference?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Good Afternoon" at 97%, followed by "AI / Artificial Intelligence" at 75%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Powell say during April Press Conference?" has generated $113.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Powell say during April Press Conference?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Powell say during April Press Conference?" is "Good Afternoon" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "AI / Artificial Intelligence" at 75%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Powell say during April Press Conference?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.