Market icon
Finance·South Korea

What will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?

Market icon
Finance·South Korea

What will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?

$44,857 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$44,857 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 7000

$3,788 Vol.

3%

↑ 6500

$3,614 Vol.

2%

↓ 4800

$10,881 Vol.

1%

↓ 4700

$612 Vol.

1%

↓ 4600

$1,718 Vol.

2%

↓ 4500

$0 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.KOSPI (^KS11) has tumbled 12.90% over the past month to close at 5,438.87 on March 27—down 0.40% daily and 5.92% weekly—primarily due to semiconductor heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix slumping on a Google AI chip breakthrough, compounded by a global equity rout from Middle East escalations including Iran tensions and Hormuz risks. Earlier Q1 surges past 6,000 reflected AI demand and export strength, with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% at peaks, but record volatility (e.g., 12% plunge then rebound in early March) underscores fragility. Bank of Korea steady at 2.5% benchmark rate amid February CPI at 2.0% target supports valuations; analysts like Goldman Sachs target year-end 7,000. Q1 resolution looms March 31, ahead of March inflation data.

KOSPI (^KS11) has tumbled 12.90% over the past month to close at 5,438.87 on March 27—down 0.40% daily and 5.92% weekly—primarily due to semiconductor heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix slumping on a Google AI chip breakthrough, compounded by a global equity rout from Middle East escalations including Iran tensions and Hormuz risks. Earlier Q1 surges past 6,000 reflected AI demand and export strength, with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% at peaks, but record volatility (e.g., 12% plunge then rebound in early March) underscores fragility. Bank of Korea steady at 2.5% benchmark rate amid February CPI at 2.0% target supports valuations; analysts like Goldman Sachs target year-end 7,000. Q1 resolution looms March 31, ahead of March inflation data.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for the first quarter of 2026, any 1-minute candle for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The first quarter of 2026 ends on March 31, 2026. All prices recorded on or before this date during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the KOSPI Composite Index (^KS11) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/.KOSPI (^KS11) has tumbled 12.90% over the past month to close at 5,438.87 on March 27—down 0.40% daily and 5.92% weekly—primarily due to semiconductor heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix slumping on a Google AI chip breakthrough, compounded by a global equity rout from Middle East escalations including Iran tensions and Hormuz risks. Earlier Q1 surges past 6,000 reflected AI demand and export strength, with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% at peaks, but record volatility (e.g., 12% plunge then rebound in early March) underscores fragility. Bank of Korea steady at 2.5% benchmark rate amid February CPI at 2.0% target supports valuations; analysts like Goldman Sachs target year-end 7,000. Q1 resolution looms March 31, ahead of March inflation data.

KOSPI (^KS11) has tumbled 12.90% over the past month to close at 5,438.87 on March 27—down 0.40% daily and 5.92% weekly—primarily due to semiconductor heavyweights Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix slumping on a Google AI chip breakthrough, compounded by a global equity rout from Middle East escalations including Iran tensions and Hormuz risks. Earlier Q1 surges past 6,000 reflected AI demand and export strength, with year-to-date gains exceeding 40% at peaks, but record volatility (e.g., 12% plunge then rebound in early March) underscores fragility. Bank of Korea steady at 2.5% benchmark rate amid February CPI at 2.0% target supports valuations; analysts like Goldman Sachs target year-end 7,000. Q1 resolution looms March 31, ahead of March inflation data.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↑ 6000" at 100%, followed by "↑ 5750" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?" has generated $44.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?" is "↑ 6000" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↑ 5750" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will KOSPI (^KS11) hit in Q1 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.