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What will be the U-3 unemployment rate in January?

$20,042 Vol.

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for January 2022.

The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question.

This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for the statistical month January 2022 is more than 3.4%, otherwise it will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. The first datacheck will be on February 4 2022, 10 AM ET. Please note, any revisions to the data after the resolution time will not be taken into account.

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The Monthly Employment Situation Report is published by the BLS every month. A
schedule of release dates is available on the BLS website
(https://www.bls.gov/schedule/news_release/empsit.htm), and the data is typically released at
8:30am ET. Each month’s report is available at the following URL, which automatically
displays the latest available report: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/pdf/empsit.pdf.
Volume
$20,042
Created At
Jan 11, 2022, 12:00 AM UTC

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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$20,042 Vol.

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What will be the U-3 unemployment rate in January?

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Above 4.2%?

$1,144 Vol.

No

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Above 4.0%?

$1,255 Vol.

No

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Above 3.8%?

$15,022 Vol.

Yes

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Above 3.6%?

$1,671 Vol.

Yes

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Above 3.4%?

$949 Vol.

Yes

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About

Volume
$20,042
Created At
Jan 11, 2022, 12:00 AM UTC
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Beware of external links.