Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 45% implied probability to NVIDIA stock trading between $250-$350 by March 2026, propelled by hyperscaler AI capex forecasts exceeding $200 billion annually from Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta. NVDA's Q3 revenue rocketed 94% year-over-year to $35.1 billion, fueled by Hopper demand and early Blackwell shipments, underscoring 90%+ GPU market dominance despite China export curbs shaving potential 15% sales. Valuation at 45x forward earnings reflects growth bets, vulnerable to supply delays or competition from AMD. Key catalysts include February 2025 Q4 earnings and March GTC for Rubin GPU reveals, with Fed rate trajectory shaping tech multiples.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated$535,217 Vol.
↑ $280
<1%
↑ $260
1%
↑ $244
1%
↑ $228
1%
↑ $216
2%
↑ $208
2%
↑ $200
5%
↓ $164
17%
↓ $152
6%
↓ $136
2%
↓ $116
1%
$535,217 Vol.
↑ $280
<1%
↑ $260
1%
↑ $244
1%
↑ $228
1%
↑ $216
2%
↑ $208
2%
↑ $200
5%
↓ $164
17%
↓ $152
6%
↓ $136
2%
↓ $116
1%
Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Feb 25, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 45% implied probability to NVIDIA stock trading between $250-$350 by March 2026, propelled by hyperscaler AI capex forecasts exceeding $200 billion annually from Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta. NVDA's Q3 revenue rocketed 94% year-over-year to $35.1 billion, fueled by Hopper demand and early Blackwell shipments, underscoring 90%+ GPU market dominance despite China export curbs shaving potential 15% sales. Valuation at 45x forward earnings reflects growth bets, vulnerable to supply delays or competition from AMD. Key catalysts include February 2025 Q4 earnings and March GTC for Rubin GPU reveals, with Fed rate trajectory shaping tech multiples.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions