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Finance·MSFT

What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?

Market icon
Finance·MSFT

What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?

11:59PM Apr 30

11:59PM Apr 30

$43,329 Vol.

May 1, 2026
Polymarket

$43,329 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ $570

$36 Vol.

5%

↑ $533

$0 Vol.

7%

↑ $503

$308 Vol.

7%

↑ $473

$0 Vol.

3%

↑ $450

$495 Vol.

10%

↑ $435

$0 Vol.

20%

↑ $420

$162 Vol.

33%

↓ $353

$2,490 Vol.

39%

↓ $330

$3,740 Vol.

25%

↓ $300

$355 Vol.

7%

↓ $263

$0 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft (MSFT) shares trade around $370, down roughly 25% year-to-date through early April 2026, as investor concerns over surging AI capital expenditures overshadow robust fundamentals. Q2 FY2026 earnings on January 28 revealed 17% revenue growth to approximately $77 billion, with Azure and other cloud services surging 39% on AI demand, pushing Microsoft Cloud revenue to $51.5 billion and backlog to $625 billion. Analyst consensus targets $589–$600, reflecting optimism on long-term AI monetization despite near-term margin pressure. Q3 FY2026 earnings, due late April, loom as the pivotal catalyst for April price action, alongside sector volatility and potential AI partnership announcements like Chevron power talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$43,329
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "High" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.Microsoft (MSFT) shares trade around $370, down roughly 25% year-to-date through early April 2026, as investor concerns over surging AI capital expenditures overshadow robust fundamentals. Q2 FY2026 earnings on January 28 revealed 17% revenue growth to approximately $77 billion, with Azure and other cloud services surging 39% on AI demand, pushing Microsoft Cloud revenue to $51.5 billion and backlog to $625 billion. Analyst consensus targets $589–$600, reflecting optimism on long-term AI monetization despite near-term margin pressure. Q3 FY2026 earnings, due late April, loom as the pivotal catalyst for April price action, alongside sector volatility and potential AI partnership announcements like Chevron power talks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals.

In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Volume
$43,329
End Date
May 1, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 9, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during April 2026 (ET), any 1-minute candle for Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) has a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during regular trading hours (ET) will be considered. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) "Low" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/, with the chart settings on "1m" for candle intervals. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "↓ $405" at 100%, followed by "↓ $390" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?" has generated $43.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?" is "↓ $405" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "↓ $390" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Microsoft (MSFT) hit in April 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.