Trader consensus heavily favors Aston Villa at 44.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa League, propelled by their commanding 3-1 first-leg quarter-final victory away at Bologna last week, where Ollie Watkins scored twice and Ezri Konsa headed in, leveraging Unai Emery's unmatched Europa expertise with four prior titles. Freiburg's dominant 3-0 home win over Celta Vigo elevates them to 11.8%, while Real Betis' resilient 1-1 draw at Braga supports their 15.5% standing ahead of the return leg. Porto and Nottingham Forest remain tightly poised at 10.7% and 9.9% respectively after a 1-1 deadlock, with second legs this week determining semi-final paths amid home advantages and recent knockout momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUEFA Europa League: Winner
UEFA Europa League: Winner
Aston Villa 45%
Real Betis 16%
Freiburg 11.8%
Porto 10.7%
$3,503,475 Vol.
$3,503,475 Vol.
Aston Villa
45%
Real Betis
16%
Freiburg
12%
Porto
11%
Nott'm Forest
10%
Braga
4%
Celta
2%
Bologna
1%
Aston Villa 45%
Real Betis 16%
Freiburg 11.8%
Porto 10.7%
$3,503,475 Vol.
$3,503,475 Vol.
Aston Villa
45%
Real Betis
16%
Freiburg
12%
Porto
11%
Nott'm Forest
10%
Braga
4%
Celta
2%
Bologna
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2025, 1:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Europa League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Europa League (https://www.uefa.com/uefaeuropaleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Aston Villa at 44.5% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa League, propelled by their commanding 3-1 first-leg quarter-final victory away at Bologna last week, where Ollie Watkins scored twice and Ezri Konsa headed in, leveraging Unai Emery's unmatched Europa expertise with four prior titles. Freiburg's dominant 3-0 home win over Celta Vigo elevates them to 11.8%, while Real Betis' resilient 1-1 draw at Braga supports their 15.5% standing ahead of the return leg. Porto and Nottingham Forest remain tightly poised at 10.7% and 9.9% respectively after a 1-1 deadlock, with second legs this week determining semi-final paths amid home advantages and recent knockout momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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