Crystal Palace tops trader consensus at 49% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa Conference League after a resilient 4-2 aggregate quarter-final triumph over Fiorentina, winning 3-0 at home in the first leg before a narrow 1-2 second-leg defeat away on April 16. Strasbourg sits second at 23% following their stunning 4-0 home comeback against Mainz (agg. 4-2 aggregate from a 0-2 first-leg deficit), showcasing attacking firepower. Rayo Vallecano (17%) advanced 4-3 aggregate past AEK Athens with a dominant 3-0 home first leg, while Shakhtar Donetsk (15%) cruised 5-2 aggregate versus AZ Alkmaar. Semi-final first legs loom April 30 (Shakhtar vs. Palace, Rayo vs. Strasbourg), with Palace favored by Premier League pedigree and Selhurst Park second-leg advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCrystal Palace 49%
Strasbourg 22.7%
Rayo Vallecano 17%
Shakhtar Donetsk 15%
$39,524 Vol.
$39,524 Vol.
Crystal Palace
49%
Strasbourg
23%
Rayo Vallecano
17%
Shakhtar Donetsk
15%
Crystal Palace 49%
Strasbourg 22.7%
Rayo Vallecano 17%
Shakhtar Donetsk 15%
$39,524 Vol.
$39,524 Vol.
Crystal Palace
49%
Strasbourg
23%
Rayo Vallecano
17%
Shakhtar Donetsk
15%
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League per the rules of the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 27, 2026, 4:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League per the rules of the UEFA Europa Conference League (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.
If the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League is cancelled, postponed after June 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Crystal Palace tops trader consensus at 49% implied probability to win the UEFA Europa Conference League after a resilient 4-2 aggregate quarter-final triumph over Fiorentina, winning 3-0 at home in the first leg before a narrow 1-2 second-leg defeat away on April 16. Strasbourg sits second at 23% following their stunning 4-0 home comeback against Mainz (agg. 4-2 aggregate from a 0-2 first-leg deficit), showcasing attacking firepower. Rayo Vallecano (17%) advanced 4-3 aggregate past AEK Athens with a dominant 3-0 home first leg, while Shakhtar Donetsk (15%) cruised 5-2 aggregate versus AZ Alkmaar. Semi-final first legs loom April 30 (Shakhtar vs. Palace, Rayo vs. Strasbourg), with Palace favored by Premier League pedigree and Selhurst Park second-leg advantage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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