Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory after an unbeaten league phase (24 points) and a 3-1 aggregate round of 16 win over Bayer Leverkusen, edging Bayern Munich's 22.5% following their dominant 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) surged with emphatic 8-3 and 8-2 aggregate victories over Newcastle and Chelsea, respectively, while Real Madrid (10.5%) rebounded past Manchester City 5-1 but faces a daunting quarter-final clash against Bayern. Liverpool (7.5%) and Atletico Madrid (3.4%) advanced via gritty ties against Galatasaray and Tottenham, with Sporting (1.5%) upsetting Bodø/Glimt. Blockbuster quarter-final matchups—Arsenal vs Sporting, Real Madrid vs Bayern, PSG vs Liverpool, Barcelona vs Atletico—preserve a fiercely competitive field, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in balanced paths ahead of April legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedArsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$220,597,963 Vol.
$220,597,963 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
Arsenal 27%
Bayern Munich 23%
Barcelona 17%
PSG 13%
$220,597,963 Vol.
$220,597,963 Vol.
Arsenal
27%
Bayern Munich
23%
Barcelona
17%
PSG
13%
Real Madrid
11%
Liverpool
8%
Atletico Madrid
3%
Sporting
1%
Club Brugge
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2025, 11:38 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team is officially crowned the winner of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the tournament (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the market will resolve to "No".
If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League is canceled or not completed by October 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA Champions League (https://www.uefa.com/uefachampionsleague/). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arsenal tops trader consensus at 26.5% implied probability for UEFA Champions League glory after an unbeaten league phase (24 points) and a 3-1 aggregate round of 16 win over Bayer Leverkusen, edging Bayern Munich's 22.5% following their dominant 10-2 thrashing of Atalanta. Barcelona (16.5%) and PSG (12.5%) surged with emphatic 8-3 and 8-2 aggregate victories over Newcastle and Chelsea, respectively, while Real Madrid (10.5%) rebounded past Manchester City 5-1 but faces a daunting quarter-final clash against Bayern. Liverpool (7.5%) and Atletico Madrid (3.4%) advanced via gritty ties against Galatasaray and Tottenham, with Sporting (1.5%) upsetting Bodø/Glimt. Blockbuster quarter-final matchups—Arsenal vs Sporting, Real Madrid vs Bayern, PSG vs Liverpool, Barcelona vs Atletico—preserve a fiercely competitive field, reflecting the wisdom of crowds in balanced paths ahead of April legs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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