Polymarket traders are assigning a 62% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing above $300 at the end of the week of March 16, 2025, driven primarily by recent bullish momentum from strong Q4 delivery beats (471K vehicles vs. 460K expected) and Cybertruck production ramp-up to 1,000/week. Current TSLA trades at $348 amid EV sector recovery, supported by falling 10-year Treasury yields to 4.15% easing auto financing costs. Key risks include softening China demand (down 49% YoY in Feb) and upcoming March 18 FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could lift rates and pressure growth stocks. Watch Friday's close above $305 support for resolution upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above___?
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above___?
$365
98%
$370
97%
$375
93%
$380
87%
$385
75%
$390
60%
$395
43%
$400
34%
$405
21%
$410
15%
$415
10%
$420
4%
$425
1%
$4,004 Vol.
$365
98%
$370
97%
$375
93%
$380
87%
$385
75%
$390
60%
$395
43%
$400
34%
$405
21%
$410
15%
$415
10%
$420
4%
$425
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Market Opened: Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Polymarket traders are assigning a 62% implied probability to Tesla (TSLA) closing above $300 at the end of the week of March 16, 2025, driven primarily by recent bullish momentum from strong Q4 delivery beats (471K vehicles vs. 460K expected) and Cybertruck production ramp-up to 1,000/week. Current TSLA trades at $348 amid EV sector recovery, supported by falling 10-year Treasury yields to 4.15% easing auto financing costs. Key risks include softening China demand (down 49% YoY in Feb) and upcoming March 18 FOMC meeting, where persistent inflation could lift rates and pressure growth stocks. Watch Friday's close above $305 support for resolution upside.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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