Trump approval rating on May 30?
$132,065 Vol.
45.5-45.9% 100.0%
<45% <1%
45.0-45.4% <1%
46.0-46.4% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<45%
$32,823 Vol.
No
<45%
$32,823 Vol.
No
45.0-45.4%
$21,113 Vol.
No
45.0-45.4%
$21,113 Vol.
No
45.5-45.9%
$19,994 Vol.
Yes
45.5-45.9%
$19,994 Vol.
Yes
46.0-46.4%
$22,973 Vol.
No
46.0-46.4%
$22,973 Vol.
No
46.5-46.9%
$16,627 Vol.
No
46.5-46.9%
$16,627 Vol.
No
47%+
$18,535 Vol.
No
47%+
$18,535 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on May 30, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: May 23, 2025, 8:43 PM UTC
Volume
$132,065End Date
May 30, 2025Created At
May 23, 2025, 8:43 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$132,065 Vol.
Trump approval rating on May 30?
45.5-45.9% 100.0%
<45% <1%
45.0-45.4% <1%
46.0-46.4% <1%
<45%
$32,823 Vol.
No
45.0-45.4%
$21,113 Vol.
No
45.5-45.9%
$19,994 Vol.
Yes
46.0-46.4%
$22,973 Vol.
No
46.5-46.9%
$16,627 Vol.
No
47%+
$18,535 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$132,065End Date
May 30, 2025Created At
May 23, 2025, 8:43 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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