Trump approval rating on July 11?
$59,654 Vol.
44.5–44.9% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<44.5%
$8,827 Vol.
No
<44.5%
$8,827 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$15,338 Vol.
Yes
44.5–44.9%
$15,338 Vol.
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$5,142 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$5,142 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$4,223 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$4,223 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$11,942 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$11,942 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$14,183 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$14,183 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on July 11, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jul 4, 2025, 2:17 PM UTC
Volume
$59,654End Date
Jul 11, 2025Created At
Jul 4, 2025, 2:17 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
Disputed
Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$59,654 Vol.
Trump approval rating on July 11?
44.5–44.9% 100.0%
<44.5% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
<44.5%
$8,827 Vol.
No
44.5–44.9%
$15,338 Vol.
Yes
45.0–45.4%
$5,142 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$4,223 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$11,942 Vol.
No
≥46.5%
$14,183 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$59,654End Date
Jul 11, 2025Created At
Jul 4, 2025, 2:17 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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