Trump approval rating on August 1?
$19,685 Vol.
44.0 – 44.4% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5 – 43.9% <1%
44.5 – 44.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<43.5%
$2,654 Vol.
No
<43.5%
$2,654 Vol.
No
43.5 – 43.9%
$2,164 Vol.
No
43.5 – 43.9%
$2,164 Vol.
No
44.0 – 44.4%
$6,358 Vol.
Yes
44.0 – 44.4%
$6,358 Vol.
Yes
44.5 – 44.9%
$2,379 Vol.
No
44.5 – 44.9%
$2,379 Vol.
No
45.0 – 45.4%
$4,060 Vol.
No
45.0 – 45.4%
$4,060 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$2,070 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$2,070 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 1, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: Jul 29, 2025, 8:42 PM UTC
Volume
$19,685End Date
Aug 1, 2025Created At
Jul 29, 2025, 8:42 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$19,685 Vol.
Trump approval rating on August 1?
44.0 – 44.4% 100.0%
<43.5% <1%
43.5 – 43.9% <1%
44.5 – 44.9% <1%
<43.5%
$2,654 Vol.
No
43.5 – 43.9%
$2,164 Vol.
No
44.0 – 44.4%
$6,358 Vol.
Yes
44.5 – 44.9%
$2,379 Vol.
No
45.0 – 45.4%
$4,060 Vol.
No
≥45.5%
$2,070 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$19,685End Date
Aug 1, 2025Created At
Jul 29, 2025, 8:42 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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