Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Rasmussen daily approval rating near 39.5% for April 3, with the 39.0–39.4% and 39.5–39.9% bins tightly matched at 45.5% and 37.0%, reflecting recent polling averages hovering in the high 30s amid economic headwinds. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon—the highest since 2022—driven by the ongoing Iran conflict and global oil disruptions, have eroded support on inflation and the economy, where approval now stands at second-term lows around 25–29% in multiple surveys. Independent voters show sharp net disapproval declines, while even Republican backing on cost-of-living issues has softened to 34% disapproval. This keeps the race competitive, but April 3's Rasmussen release, plus any Iran de-escalation signals or fresh economic data, could tip probabilities decisively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated39.0–39.4 43%
39.5–39.9 39%
<39.0 15.0%
40.0–40.4 5.9%
$155,678 Vol.
$155,678 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
15%
39.0–39.4
41%
39.5–39.9
39%
40.0–40.4
6%
40.5–40.9
<1%
41.0+
<1%
39.0–39.4 43%
39.5–39.9 39%
<39.0 15.0%
40.0–40.4 5.9%
$155,678 Vol.
$155,678 Vol.
Apr 4, 2026
<39.0
$12,931 Vol.
15%
39.0–39.4
$12,199 Vol.
41%
39.5–39.9
$60,355 Vol.
39%
40.0–40.4
$54,719 Vol.
6%
40.5–40.9
$7,524 Vol.
<1%
41.0+
$7,950 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Rasmussen daily approval rating near 39.5% for April 3, with the 39.0–39.4% and 39.5–39.9% bins tightly matched at 45.5% and 37.0%, reflecting recent polling averages hovering in the high 30s amid economic headwinds. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon—the highest since 2022—driven by the ongoing Iran conflict and global oil disruptions, have eroded support on inflation and the economy, where approval now stands at second-term lows around 25–29% in multiple surveys. Independent voters show sharp net disapproval declines, while even Republican backing on cost-of-living issues has softened to 34% disapproval. This keeps the race competitive, but April 3's Rasmussen release, plus any Iran de-escalation signals or fresh economic data, could tip probabilities decisively.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Volume
$155,678End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Rasmussen daily approval rating near 39.5% for April 3, with the 39.0–39.4% and 39.5–39.9% bins tightly matched at 45.5% and 37.0%, reflecting recent polling averages hovering in the high 30s amid economic headwinds. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon—the highest since 2022—driven by the ongoing Iran conflict and global oil disruptions, have eroded support on inflation and the economy, where approval now stands at second-term lows around 25–29% in multiple surveys. Independent voters show sharp net disapproval declines, while even Republican backing on cost-of-living issues has softened to 34% disapproval. This keeps the race competitive, but April 3's Rasmussen release, plus any Iran de-escalation signals or fresh economic data, could tip probabilities decisively.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 3, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$155,678End Date
Apr 4, 2026Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Trump's Rasmussen daily approval rating near 39.5% for April 3, with the 39.0–39.4% and 39.5–39.9% bins tightly matched at 45.5% and 37.0%, reflecting recent polling averages hovering in the high 30s amid economic headwinds. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon—the highest since 2022—driven by the ongoing Iran conflict and global oil disruptions, have eroded support on inflation and the economy, where approval now stands at second-term lows around 25–29% in multiple surveys. Independent voters show sharp net disapproval declines, while even Republican backing on cost-of-living issues has softened to 34% disapproval. This keeps the race competitive, but April 3's Rasmussen release, plus any Iran de-escalation signals or fresh economic data, could tip probabilities decisively.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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