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Number of TSA passengers November 23-30?

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Number of TSA passengers November 23-30?

20–22m 100.0%

<18m <1%

18–20m <1%

22–24m <1%

Polymarket

$464,078 Vol.

20–22m 100.0%

<18m <1%

18–20m <1%

22–24m <1%

Polymarket

$464,078 Vol.

<18m

$141,317 Vol.

No

18–20m

$45,738 Vol.

No

20–22m

$65,411 Vol.

Yes

22–24m

$47,261 Vol.

No

24–26m

$99,345 Vol.

No

>26m

$65,005 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between November 23 and November 30, 2025 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).

If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates November 23, 2025, and onward, prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range, will be considered.

If data is not available for any of the dates from November 23, 2025, to November 30, 2025, by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "other".

The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Volume
$464,078
End Date
Nov 30, 2025
Market Opened
Nov 12, 2025, 6:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported between November 23 and November 30, 2025 (inclusive). The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million). If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates November 23, 2025, and onward, prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range, will be considered. If data is not available for any of the dates from November 23, 2025, to November 30, 2025, by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "other". The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Number of TSA passengers November 23-30?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20–22m" at 100%, followed by "<18m" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Number of TSA passengers November 23-30?" has generated $464.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Number of TSA passengers November 23-30?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Number of TSA passengers November 23-30?" is "20–22m" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<18m" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Number of TSA passengers November 23-30?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.