Zazie Beetz-led horror-action-comedy "They Will Kill You" has seen trader consensus solidify at 94% implied probability for an opening weekend gross under $5 million, driven by a disappointing Friday haul of $2.25 million—including $1 million in Thursday previews—from 2,778 theaters, well below pre-release tracking of $6–10 million. Fierce holdover competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" ($53 million second weekend) and genre rival "Ready or Not 2" sapped presales and audience demos, despite solid 79% Rotten Tomatoes audience score buoying word-of-mouth potential. Decent 66% critics' rating praises Beetz's fierce performance amid stylish gore, but repetitive structure limits breakout appeal. An upset requires a 2.5x+ Saturday-Sunday multiplier from horror fan turnout, though final tallies Monday favor the low end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 92.5%
5-6m 6.3%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$147,641 Vol.
$147,641 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
93%
5-6m
6%
6-7m
1%
7-8m
<1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 92.5%
5-6m 6.3%
6-7m <1%
7-8m <1%
$147,641 Vol.
$147,641 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$40,279 Vol.
93%
5-6m
$19,122 Vol.
6%
6-7m
$21,230 Vol.
1%
7-8m
$18,628 Vol.
<1%
>8m
$48,428 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Zazie Beetz-led horror-action-comedy "They Will Kill You" has seen trader consensus solidify at 94% implied probability for an opening weekend gross under $5 million, driven by a disappointing Friday haul of $2.25 million—including $1 million in Thursday previews—from 2,778 theaters, well below pre-release tracking of $6–10 million. Fierce holdover competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" ($53 million second weekend) and genre rival "Ready or Not 2" sapped presales and audience demos, despite solid 79% Rotten Tomatoes audience score buoying word-of-mouth potential. Decent 66% critics' rating praises Beetz's fierce performance amid stylish gore, but repetitive structure limits breakout appeal. An upset requires a 2.5x+ Saturday-Sunday multiplier from horror fan turnout, though final tallies Monday favor the low end.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$147,641End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Zazie Beetz-led horror-action-comedy "They Will Kill You" has seen trader consensus solidify at 94% implied probability for an opening weekend gross under $5 million, driven by a disappointing Friday haul of $2.25 million—including $1 million in Thursday previews—from 2,778 theaters, well below pre-release tracking of $6–10 million. Fierce holdover competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" ($53 million second weekend) and genre rival "Ready or Not 2" sapped presales and audience demos, despite solid 79% Rotten Tomatoes audience score buoying word-of-mouth potential. Decent 66% critics' rating praises Beetz's fierce performance amid stylish gore, but repetitive structure limits breakout appeal. An upset requires a 2.5x+ Saturday-Sunday multiplier from horror fan turnout, though final tallies Monday favor the low end.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$147,641End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Zazie Beetz-led horror-action-comedy "They Will Kill You" has seen trader consensus solidify at 94% implied probability for an opening weekend gross under $5 million, driven by a disappointing Friday haul of $2.25 million—including $1 million in Thursday previews—from 2,778 theaters, well below pre-release tracking of $6–10 million. Fierce holdover competition from Ryan Gosling's "Project Hail Mary" ($53 million second weekend) and genre rival "Ready or Not 2" sapped presales and audience demos, despite solid 79% Rotten Tomatoes audience score buoying word-of-mouth potential. Decent 66% critics' rating praises Beetz's fierce performance amid stylish gore, but repetitive structure limits breakout appeal. An upset requires a 2.5x+ Saturday-Sunday multiplier from horror fan turnout, though final tallies Monday favor the low end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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