Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 83% implied probability to "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend, driven by modest $1 million Thursday previews and a soft $2.3 million Friday amid fierce competition from holdover blockbuster "Project Hail Mary," eyeing $53 million in its second frame. Mixed critical reception—72% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes but dinged for style-over-substance in a familiar satanic horror setup akin to "Ready or Not 2"—has curbed walkups on 2,778 screens, despite Zazie Beetz's strong lead buzz. Earlier $6-10 million tracking has evaporated with weak presales; Saturday/Sunday grosses will confirm if it scrapes into the 5-6 million tier at 13.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
"They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office
<5m 83%
5-6m 16%
6-7m 1.0%
7-8m <1%
$114,824 Vol.
$114,824 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
83%
5-6m
16%
6-7m
1%
7-8m
1%
>8m
<1%
<5m 83%
5-6m 16%
6-7m 1.0%
7-8m <1%
$114,824 Vol.
$114,824 Vol.
Mar 30, 2026
<5m
$32,255 Vol.
83%
5-6m
$14,183 Vol.
16%
6-7m
$16,817 Vol.
1%
7-8m
$12,095 Vol.
1%
>8m
$39,477 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 83% implied probability to "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend, driven by modest $1 million Thursday previews and a soft $2.3 million Friday amid fierce competition from holdover blockbuster "Project Hail Mary," eyeing $53 million in its second frame. Mixed critical reception—72% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes but dinged for style-over-substance in a familiar satanic horror setup akin to "Ready or Not 2"—has curbed walkups on 2,778 screens, despite Zazie Beetz's strong lead buzz. Earlier $6-10 million tracking has evaporated with weak presales; Saturday/Sunday grosses will confirm if it scrapes into the 5-6 million tier at 13.5%.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ET
Volume
$114,824End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 83% implied probability to "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend, driven by modest $1 million Thursday previews and a soft $2.3 million Friday amid fierce competition from holdover blockbuster "Project Hail Mary," eyeing $53 million in its second frame. Mixed critical reception—72% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes but dinged for style-over-substance in a familiar satanic horror setup akin to "Ready or Not 2"—has curbed walkups on 2,778 screens, despite Zazie Beetz's strong lead buzz. Earlier $6-10 million tracking has evaporated with weak presales; Saturday/Sunday grosses will confirm if it scrapes into the 5-6 million tier at 13.5%.
This market will resolve according to how much "They Will Kill You" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$114,824End Date
Mar 30, 2026Market Opened
Mar 23, 2026, 5:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives an 83% implied probability to "They Will Kill You" posting under $5 million for its domestic opening weekend, driven by modest $1 million Thursday previews and a soft $2.3 million Friday amid fierce competition from holdover blockbuster "Project Hail Mary," eyeing $53 million in its second frame. Mixed critical reception—72% fresh on Rotten Tomatoes but dinged for style-over-substance in a familiar satanic horror setup akin to "Ready or Not 2"—has curbed walkups on 2,778 screens, despite Zazie Beetz's strong lead buzz. Earlier $6-10 million tracking has evaporated with weak presales; Saturday/Sunday grosses will confirm if it scrapes into the 5-6 million tier at 13.5%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated
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