Name: The "Saquon Special" Parlay
Start: 2025-02-08T00:15:12.689095Z
End: 2025-02-09T12:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if during Super Bowl LIX, all of the following occurs:

-Saquon Barkley records 2 more more total touchdowns in the game (rushing, receiving, or passing)

-Saquon Barkley records 100 or more total yards (rushing and receiving yards both count towards this total)

-The Eagles win Super Bowl LIX

-Saquon Barkley wins the Super Bowl LIX MVP award

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The "Saquon Special" Parlay

This is a polymarket to predict which state the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team who plays in the listed state wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from California?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played first by any performer during the Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will "La Santa" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?

This is a polymarket to predict which division the team that wins the 2025-26 NFL Super Bowl will be from.

If a team from the listed division wins the Super Bowl, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is played by any performer during the Super Bowl LX halftime show currently scheduled for February 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

To qualify as "played" a performer must sing at least some of the lyrics of a specified song during this event.

If this event is cancelled or otherwise delayed beyond March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be footage of the Super Bowl LIX halftime show, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Will BAILE INOLVIDABLE be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team makes the 2025-26 NFL Playoffs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No".

If the listed team qualifies for the playoffs early, the market will resolve to "Yes". 
If the listed team is eliminated based on the rules of the competition, the market will resolve to "No". 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL or a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Will the Seattle Seahawks make the playoffs?

This is a polymarket to predict whether a team from the AFC or the NFC will win the NFL 2025-26 Super Bowl.

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the AFC, this market will resolve to "AFC".

If the winning team of the 2025-26 Super Bowl is from the NFC, this market will resolve to "NFC".

If the Super Bowl is canceled or not completed by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to 50–50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Super Bowl - Winning Conference 

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY?

This is a market to predict which athlete will win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player.

If the listed player wins the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025 ESPYS are cancelled or postponed past August 16, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be ESPN (https://www.espn.com/espys/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Saquon Barkley win the 2025 ESPYS award for Best NFL Player?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the NFL officially announces a rule change that prohibits, limits, or penalizes the “tush push” from being used in the 2026 season before the start of the first regular season game of the 2026 NFL season. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

The “tush push” refers to a football play in which an offensive player or multiple offensive players line up directly behind the quarterback and push the quarterback forward immediately after the snap. A qualifying rule change must affect the use of this play. Partial bans, such as rules that ban pushing the quarterback only in certain situations (e.g. on quarterback sneaks), restrict who can push the quarterback, or impose penalties that specifically target the “tush push” formation or execution, will qualify.

The market will resolve based on the first official announcement from the NFL. If the league announces that the tush push will not be banned for the 2026 NFL season, this market will resolve to “No”.

Announcements of future rule changes affecting the use of the "tush push" which don't apply to the 2026 NFL season will not qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be official NFL announcements however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. 

Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?

This is a polymarket on which player will be named the 2025–26 NFL Defensive Player of the Year. 

If the listed player is named the 2025-26 NFL Defensive Player of the Year, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 NFL DPOY is not announced by May 1, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Myles Garrett win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular season record in the 2025–2026 NFL National Football Conference (NFC).

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the 2025-2026 NFL regular season with the best regular season record in the NFC.

If multiple teams are tied for the best record in the NFC in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed in the NFC for the 2026 NFL Playoffs. A list of the NFL’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL.

Will the Los Angeles Rams be the number 1 seed in the NFC?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is announced that Bill Belichick is engaged to be married by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it is announced that Bill Belichick has married, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.  

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Bill Belichick or one of his representatives, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Bill Belichick engaged in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jaxon Smith-Njigba records more than 1,964 receiving yards during the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com).

Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba break NFL receiving yards record?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET:

- Evidence Trump went to Epstein's Island made public
- Trump out as President
- Trump impeached
- Any Trump cabinet member out

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Trump-Epstein+Parlay.pdf

Trump-Epstein Parlay

This is a polymarket to predict which conference the team that wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship will be from.

If a team from the listed conference wins the 2025-26 College Football National Championship, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the College Football Playoff is canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from NCAA Football.

Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?

This is a polymarket to predict which player is drafted #1 overall in the 2026 NFL Draft.

If the listed player is drafted first overall in the 2026 NFL Draft, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NFL Draft is canceled or not completed by July 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Fernando Mendoza be the first pick of the 2026 NFL Draft?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes with the best regular season record in the 2025-2026 NFL American Football Conference (AFC).

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for the listed team to finish the 2025- 2026 NFL regular season with the best regular season record in the AFC.

If multiple teams are tied for the best record in the AFC in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season, this market will resolve in favor of the team that receives the number 1 seed in the AFC for the 2026 NFL Playoffs. A list of the NFL’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://www.nfl.com/standings/tie-breaking-procedures.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NFL.

Will the Denver Broncos be the number 1 seed in the AFC?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals is traded to the New York Jets before the start of the first 2026 NFL preseason game. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Burrow is cut, retires, or is not on an NFL roster as of the resolution time, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Cincinnati Bengals and the New York Jets, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Joe Burrow traded to the Jets?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA.  (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

FIFA World Cup 2026 Qualification Longshots Parlay

This market will resolve based on the next earnings announcement of Nike currently scheduled to take place on December 18, 2025 at 5:00 PM EST.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A Q&A event will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio of the event.

Will Nike say "China" during earnings call?

This market will resolve according to the player who wins 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year Award. 

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the NFL.

Will Christian McCaffrey be the 2025-2026 NFL Comeback Player of the Year?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Myles Garrett records more than 22.5 sacks in the 2025-2026 NFL regular season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary source of resolution for this market will be information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com).


Will Myles Garrett break the NFL sack record?

Donald Trump is set to make an address on December 17, 2025 at 9PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/115730644486071082).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled address on December 17, 2025. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by December 17, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Inflation" while addressing the nation on December 17?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, sports event contracts listed by a CFTC-regulated Designated Contract Market (DCM), whether accessed directly or through a Futures Commission Merchant (FCM), are legally prohibited or blocked for users in at least one U.S. state or nationwide. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A qualifying ban must have gone into effect during the market window and may occur through any of the following:

CFTC Action: A final order, rule, or directive under Regulation 40.11 or other CFTC authority that results in the removal or suspension of sports event contracts, either nationally or within one or more states.

Court Order or Judgment: A temporary restraining order, preliminary injunction, permanent injunction, or final judgment issued by a U.S. federal or state court that has the effect of suspending or terminating user access to sports event contracts in one or more states or nationwide. This includes situations where a court denies an exchange’s claim of federal preemption and thereby allows a state to enforce its gambling laws against sports event contracts while adjudication is pending, leading to blocked access in that state.

State Enforcement Upheld by Courts: If a state action (such as a cease-and-desist order or regulatory enforcement) is challenged on preemption grounds and the court declines to enjoin the state, resulting in blocked access to sports event contracts in that state, this will qualify.

To resolve “Yes,” the block or ban must actually take effect (users lose access or ability to trade/maintain positions). Mere announcements, proposed rules, or pending litigation without effect do not qualify.

Voluntary pauses or withdrawals by a DCM or FCM, absent legal compulsion, do not qualify.

If a qualifying block takes effect and is implemented the market will still resolve “Yes” regardless if it is later stayed, reversed, or vacated. 

Actions ordered before the deadline but which take effect only after, will not qulaify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. 

Will sports prediction markets be banned in any U.S. state in 2025?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jayson Tatum plays in any regular season or postseason NBA game during the 2025-2026 NBA season. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

"Playing" is defined as Jayson Tatum playing any amount of time in a game. Merely being on the active roster will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/).

Will Jayson Tatum play a game this season?

This market will resolve according to the team that finishes the 2025-2026 NBA Regular Season with the best record in the league.

This market will resolve to “No” if it becomes impossible for this team to finish the regular Season with the best record.

If multiple teams are tied for most wins in the 2025-26 NBA Regular Season, this market will resolve in favor of the team who receives home court advantage for the 2026 NBA playoffs. A list of the NBA’s Tiebreak Procedures can be found here: https://ak-static-int.nba.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2017/06/NBA_Tiebreaker_Procedures.pdf

The resolution source for this market will be information from the NBA.

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?

This is a polymarket to predict if any NCAA Division I FBS football team will finish the 2025–26 season undefeated with a record of 15-0.

If at least one NCAA Division I FBS team officially finishes the season with a 15-0 record, this market will resolve to “Yes.” If no team does so, this market will resolve to “No.”

If the NCAA Division I FBS season or College Football Playoff are canceled or not completed by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”

The primary resolution source will be the official NCAA and school athletics websites. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Court of the United States grants certiorari in a case explicitly concerning the legality, regulation, or jurisdictional authority over sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A case qualifies if it addresses at least one of the following: (1) whether contracts based on sporting event outcomes constitute regulated derivatives under the Commodity Exchange Act; (2) whether federal regulation via the Commodity Futures Trading Commission preempts state-level gambling laws as applied to such contracts; or (3) whether sports event contracts offered by federally licensed markets may legally be offered, restricted, or prohibited by federal or state authorities.

The certiorari grant must be publicly confirmed via the official SCOTUS docket or orders list, and verifiable through credible legal reporting or the Supreme Court’s official website. The case does not need to be heard, scheduled, or decided to qualify. 

The resolution source will be a consensus census of credible reporting. 

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?     

This polymarket will resolve to the team that wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament.

The market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed pair wins the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this pair to win the tournament per the official rules of the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Harri Heliovaara and Henry Patten win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Doubles Tournament

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any spot Pepe (https://etherscan.io/token/0x6982508145454ce325ddbe47a25d4ec3d2311933) ETF receives approval from the SEC by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Approval under Rule 19-4b will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, even if there has not been an S-1 approval. Similarly, an S-1 approval without a 19-4b approval will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the SEC, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The "Saquon Special" Parlay

Market Context

The "Saquon Special" Parlay

Rules

The "Saquon Special" Parlay

Market Context

The "Saquon Special" Parlay

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