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Portugal Presidential Election

$72,613,370 Vol.

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 63%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 22%

André Ventura (CH) 6.3%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$72,613,370
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
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$72,613,370 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 63%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 22%

André Ventura (CH) 6.3%

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 5.4%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$597,597 Vol.

63%

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Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$280,547 Vol.

22%

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André Ventura (CH)

$827,888 Vol.

6%

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João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$301,919 Vol.

5%

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António José Seguro (IND)

$280,702 Vol.

4%

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Raul Perestrello (IND)

$13,789,063 Vol.

<1%

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José Cardoso (PLS)

$8,038,128 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$3,678,788 Vol.

<1%

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Jorge Pinto

$4,779,251 Vol.

<1%

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Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$4,154,886 Vol.

<1%

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Rui Moreira (IND)

$3,201,424 Vol.

<1%

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Paulo Portas (CDS)

$552,043 Vol.

<1%

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Catarina Martins (BE)

$230,138 Vol.

<1%

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Tim Vieira (IND)

$175,060 Vol.

<1%

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André Pestana (IND)

$1,644,606 Vol.

<1%

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Orlando Cruz (IND)

$519,834 Vol.

<1%

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Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$7,813,963 Vol.

<1%

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Manuela Magno (IND)

$3,239,958 Vol.

<1%

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Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$5,436,917 Vol.

<1%

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Vitorino Silva (IND)

$3,608,346 Vol.

<1%

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Ângela Maryah (IND)

$4,471,448 Vol.

<1%

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António Filipe (PCP)

$4,991,010 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$72,613,370
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Aug 29, 2025, 7:00 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.