Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

$794,292 Vol.

André Ventura (CH) 39%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 27%

António José Seguro (IND) 17.0%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 7.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Volume
$794,292
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.

$794,292 Vol.

Market icon

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

André Ventura (CH) 39%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 27%

António José Seguro (IND) 17.0%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 7.8%

OUTCOME
% CHANCE
Market icon

André Ventura (CH)

$65,645 Vol.

39%

Market icon

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$62,868 Vol.

27%

Market icon

António José Seguro (IND)

$83,136 Vol.

17%

Market icon

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$63,698 Vol.

8%

Market icon

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$63,517 Vol.

7%

Market icon

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$20,150 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$24,956 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$28,653 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

António Filipe (PCP)

$25,327 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

José Cardoso (PLS)

$43,082 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Jorge Pinto

$17,443 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Humberto Correia

$12,586 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$22,017 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Tim Vieira (IND)

$27,448 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

André Pestana (IND)

$18,480 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$28,553 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Manuela Magno (IND)

$37,891 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$20,639 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$20,066 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$22,125 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$30,754 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Manuel João Vieira

$12,437 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Rui Moreira (IND)

$22,237 Vol.

<1%

Market icon

Catarina Martins (BE)

$20,582 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$794,292
End Date
Jan 25, 2026
Created At
Dec 3, 2025, 8:36 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.