Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place

Name: Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place
Start: 2026-01-14T18:17:09.279425Z
End: 2026-01-18T00:00:00Z

$12,085 Vol.

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 47%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 25%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 13%

André Ventura (CH) 11%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)
$1,038 Vol.
47%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)
$665 Vol.
25%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)
$145 Vol.
13%

André Ventura (CH)
$400 Vol.
11%

António José Seguro (IND)
$245 Vol.
8%

Manuel João Vieira
$390 Vol.
<1%

Jorge Pinto
$431 Vol.
<1%

André Pestana (IND)
$511 Vol.
<1%

Humberto Correia
$361 Vol.
<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)
$733 Vol.
<1%

António Filipe (PCP)
$1,013 Vol.
<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)
$431 Vol.
<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)
$598 Vol.
<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)
$280 Vol.
<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)
$280 Vol.
<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)
$461 Vol.
<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)
$461 Vol.
<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)
$723 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)
$598 Vol.
<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)
$598 Vol.
<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)
$598 Vol.
<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)
$326 Vol.
<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)
$598 Vol.
<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)
$205 Vol.
<1%

Rules

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that receives the third-highest number of valid votes in the first round of this election. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the candidate whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order.

If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the first round of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).

Created At: Jan 14, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC

Volume

$12,085

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Jan 14, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$12,085 Vol.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) 47%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) 25%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) 13%

André Ventura (CH) 11%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL)

$1,038 Vol.

47%

Luís Marques Mendes (PSD)

$665 Vol.

25%

Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND)

$145 Vol.

13%

André Ventura (CH)

$400 Vol.

11%

António José Seguro (IND)

$245 Vol.

Manuel João Vieira

$390 Vol.

<1%

Jorge Pinto

$431 Vol.

<1%

André Pestana (IND)

$511 Vol.

<1%

Humberto Correia

$361 Vol.

<1%

Paulo Portas (CDS)

$733 Vol.

<1%

António Filipe (PCP)

$1,013 Vol.

<1%

Manuela Magno (IND)

$431 Vol.

<1%

Raul Perestrello (IND)

$598 Vol.

<1%

Vitorino Silva (IND)

$280 Vol.

<1%

José Cardoso (PLS)

$280 Vol.

<1%

Rui Moreira (IND)

$461 Vol.

<1%

Tim Vieira (IND)

$461 Vol.

<1%

Orlando Cruz (IND)

$723 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND)

$598 Vol.

<1%

Ângela Maryah (IND)

$598 Vol.

<1%

Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD)

$598 Vol.

<1%

Joana Amaral Dias (ADN)

$326 Vol.

<1%

Aristides Teixeira (IND)

$598 Vol.

<1%

Catarina Martins (BE)

$205 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$12,085

End Date

Jan 18, 2026

Created At

Jan 14, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Luís Marques Mendes win 4th place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

45%

Will António José Seguro win 2nd place in the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

42%

Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

49%

Beware of external links.

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round 3rd Place