Recent confirmation from Manchester City and Pep Guardiola that the manager will depart at the end of the 2025-26 Premier League season has driven trader consensus toward near-certainty on an exit by December 2026. After a decade at the Etihad with multiple major trophies secured, Guardiola has signaled plans for an extended break from coaching before considering future roles, aligning with the timing of his current contract. This development, reported across credible outlets in mid-May, leaves little room for reversal absent unforeseen circumstances such as a last-minute extension or health-related change. While football managerial situations can shift rapidly, the explicit club acknowledgment and Guardiola's own statements leave minimal scope for him remaining in charge through year-end.