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Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

Market icon
Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

Luis Enrique 26%

Julian Nagelsmann 22%

Unai Emery 20%

Jose Mourinho 16%

Polymarket

$21,492 Vol.

Luis Enrique 26%

Julian Nagelsmann 22%

Unai Emery 20%

Jose Mourinho 16%

Polymarket

$21,492 Vol.

Luis Enrique

$109 Vol.

17%

Julian Nagelsmann

$0 Vol.

22%

Unai Emery

$156 Vol.

20%

Jose Mourinho

$193 Vol.

16%

Jurgen Klopp

$8,456 Vol.

15%

Enzo Maresca

$2,931 Vol.

13%

Mauricio Pochettino

$0 Vol.

11%

Mikel Arteta

$195 Vol.

6%

Massimiliano Allegri

$7,757 Vol.

4%

Robert De Zerbi

$0 Vol.

3%

Andoni Iraola

$0 Vol.

2%

Oliver Glasner

$0 Vol.

2%

Zinedine Zidane

$1,695 Vol.

2%

Thomas Tuchel

$0 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty over replacing interim manager Álvaro Arbeloa, whose position remains precarious despite Real Madrid holding second in La Liga standings with 69 points from 29 matches, trailing Barcelona by four. Recent pressure mounted after early Champions League exit risks and fan frustration with defensive lapses, echoing the hasty January sacking of Xabi Alonso post-Supercopa loss. The tight clustering atop the market—Unai Emery (19.5%), Mauricio Pochettino (17.5%), Julian Nagelsmann (17.0%)—stems from multiple viable candidates: Emery's Europa League pedigree at Aston Villa, Pochettino's USMNT momentum and Madrid links, Nagelsmann's tactical innovation with Germany, Luis Enrique's Spanish fluency, and Mourinho's galactico allure, as Florentino Pérez eyes a marquee hire for 2026-27 amid no dominant frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,492
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects intense uncertainty over replacing interim manager Álvaro Arbeloa, whose position remains precarious despite Real Madrid holding second in La Liga standings with 69 points from 29 matches, trailing Barcelona by four. Recent pressure mounted after early Champions League exit risks and fan frustration with defensive lapses, echoing the hasty January sacking of Xabi Alonso post-Supercopa loss. The tight clustering atop the market—Unai Emery (19.5%), Mauricio Pochettino (17.5%), Julian Nagelsmann (17.0%)—stems from multiple viable candidates: Emery's Europa League pedigree at Aston Villa, Pochettino's USMNT momentum and Madrid links, Nagelsmann's tactical innovation with Germany, Luis Enrique's Spanish fluency, and Mourinho's galactico allure, as Florentino Pérez eyes a marquee hire for 2026-27 amid no dominant frontrunner.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$21,492
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Real Madrid manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 14 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Unai Emery" at 20%, followed by "Mauricio Pochettino" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 20¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Real Madrid manager?" has generated $21.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Real Madrid manager?," browse the 14 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Real Madrid manager?" is "Unai Emery" at 20%, meaning the market assigns a 20% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Mauricio Pochettino" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Real Madrid manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.