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Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

icon for Next Real Madrid manager?
Sports·La Liga

Next Real Madrid manager?

Jose Mourinho 100.0%

Andoni Iraola <1%

Thomas Tuchel <1%

Massimiliano Allegri <1%

Polymarket

$573,091 Vol.

Jose Mourinho 100.0%

Andoni Iraola <1%

Thomas Tuchel <1%

Massimiliano Allegri <1%

Polymarket

$573,091 Vol.

Jose Mourinho

$232,826 Vol.

Yes

Andoni Iraola

$226,339 Vol.

No

Thomas Tuchel

$4,207 Vol.

No

Massimiliano Allegri

$13,540 Vol.

No

Mikel Arteta

$7,827 Vol.

No

Oliver Glasner

$3,344 Vol.

No

Jurgen Klopp

$26,094 Vol.

No

Unai Emery

$5,224 Vol.

No

Zinedine Zidane

$16,877 Vol.

No

Mauricio Pochettino

$7,917 Vol.

No

Robert De Zerbi

$1,601 Vol.

No

Didier Deschamps

$8,042 Vol.

No

Enzo Maresca

$7,133 Vol.

No

Julian Nagelsmann

$3,434 Vol.

No

Luis Enrique

$4,287 Vol.

No

Lionel Scaloni

$4,398 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Jose Mourinho's confirmed appointment as Real Madrid's next head coach, following his pre-signed three-year contract and Florentino Pérez's re-election as president, has driven the market's 100% consensus on the Portuguese manager. After Álvaro Arbeloa's interim stint ended amid a trophyless campaign and early 2026 exit, club officials announced Mourinho's return on June 11 for a deal running until June 2029, with his arrival set for preseason on July 13. This second tenure builds on his prior 2010-13 spell that delivered La Liga and Copa del Rey titles. Trader pricing reflects the official board statement and Pérez's explicit backing, leaving minimal room for alternatives like Arbeloa or others. Only unforeseen developments such as a sudden contract termination or major club upheaval could realistically shift the outcome before the season starts.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$573,091
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Jose Mourinho's confirmed appointment as Real Madrid's next head coach, following his pre-signed three-year contract and Florentino Pérez's re-election as president, has driven the market's 100% consensus on the Portuguese manager. After Álvaro Arbeloa's interim stint ended amid a trophyless campaign and early 2026 exit, club officials announced Mourinho's return on June 11 for a deal running until June 2029, with his arrival set for preseason on July 13. This second tenure builds on his prior 2010-13 spell that delivered La Liga and Copa del Rey titles. Trader pricing reflects the official board statement and Pérez's explicit backing, leaving minimal room for alternatives like Arbeloa or others. Only unforeseen developments such as a sudden contract termination or major club upheaval could realistically shift the outcome before the season starts.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$573,091
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 17, 2026, 5:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Real Madrid. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Real Madrid; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Real Madrid manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Jose Mourinho" at 100%, followed by "Andoni Iraola" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Real Madrid manager?" has generated $573.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 17, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Real Madrid manager?," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Real Madrid manager?" is "Jose Mourinho" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Andoni Iraola" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Real Madrid manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.