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Next Manchester United manager?

icon for Next Manchester United manager?

Next Manchester United manager?

Michael Carrick 100.0%

Darren Fletcher <1%

Laurent Blanc <1%

Thomas Tuchel <1%

Polymarket

$964,041 Vol.

Michael Carrick 100.0%

Darren Fletcher <1%

Laurent Blanc <1%

Thomas Tuchel <1%

Polymarket

$964,041 Vol.

Darren Fletcher

$183,559 Vol.

No

Laurent Blanc

$23,867 Vol.

No

Thomas Tuchel

$13,375 Vol.

No

Ole Gunnar Solskjær

$136,363 Vol.

No

Xavi

$6,955 Vol.

No

Michael Carrick

$438,929 Vol.

Yes

Xabi Alonso

$14,818 Vol.

No

Luis Enrique

$6,641 Vol.

No

Oliver Glasner

$84,440 Vol.

No

Gareth Southgate

$25,600 Vol.

No

Enzo Maresca

$18,799 Vol.

No

Kieran McKenna

$10,696 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Michael Carrick has been confirmed as Manchester United’s permanent head coach on a two-year deal following his successful interim spell that began in January 2026 after Ruben Amorim’s departure. His strong recent form, including a push toward Champions League qualification and improved results across 16 matches, has aligned club hierarchy and trader consensus around retaining the former midfielder in the role. This outcome reflects official announcements and the absence of credible alternatives gaining traction. While an extended poor run of results in the coming season could theoretically reopen discussions about successors, current momentum and the fresh contract make an immediate change highly improbable.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$964,041
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Michael Carrick has been confirmed as Manchester United’s permanent head coach on a two-year deal following his successful interim spell that began in January 2026 after Ruben Amorim’s departure. His strong recent form, including a push toward Champions League qualification and improved results across 16 matches, has aligned club hierarchy and trader consensus around retaining the former midfielder in the role. This outcome reflects official announcements and the absence of credible alternatives gaining traction. While an extended poor run of results in the coming season could theoretically reopen discussions about successors, current momentum and the fresh contract make an immediate change highly improbable.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United.

If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$964,041
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 5, 2026, 6:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of Manchester United. If no permanent manager is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Manchester United; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Manchester United manager?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Michael Carrick" at 100%, followed by "Darren Fletcher" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Manchester United manager?" has generated $964K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Manchester United manager?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Manchester United manager?" is "Michael Carrick" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Darren Fletcher" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Manchester United manager?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.