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Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

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Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?

USA 100.0%

China <1%

Japan <1%

Great Britain <1%

Polymarket

$11,990,171 Vol.

USA 100.0%

China <1%

Japan <1%

Great Britain <1%

Polymarket

$11,990,171 Vol.

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USA

$4,289,680 Vol.

Yes

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China

$3,614,684 Vol.

No

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Japan

$1,089,259 Vol.

No

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Great Britain

$1,061,810 Vol.

No

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France

$815,367 Vol.

No

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Other

$1,119,369 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States of America wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the country whose registered name comes first in alphabetical order.

This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand at after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market.

The resolution source is the final medal table published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).
Volume
$11,990,171
End Date
Aug 11, 2024
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2024, 2:35 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States of America wins more gold medals than any other country at the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If this country ties with any other for the greatest number of gold medals won, this market will resolve in favor of the country which won the most medals overall. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the country whose registered name comes first in alphabetical order. This market will resolve based on the medal figures as they stand at after medals are awarded for the final event in the 2024 Paris Summer Olympics. Later changes to medal counts will not be considered toward the resolution of this market. The resolution source is the final medal table published by the International Olympic Committee (IOC).

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "USA" at 100%, followed by "China" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?" has generated $12 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?" is "USA" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "China" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Most gold medals at Paris Olympics?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.